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New Model Portfolio

September 12th, 2014 · Comments Off on New Model Portfolio

And trades, check it out here

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Data I/O Is A Buy Here

November 14th, 2018 · No Comments

  • The shares still priced for a crash that still isn’t materializing. On the other hand, there is no conclusive evidence we have passed the worst of the down-cycle either.
  • What we do know is that the company is fairing pretty well even through the down-cycle, with its accounts staying in the black.
  • In fact, management is so confident of its financials that it is starting a share buyback program.
  • The shares are cheap now, when the cycle turns and especially if the SentriX start ramping (jury still out), they could quickly rise.
  • We think the shares offer an attractive risk-reward ratio.

Source: Data I/O Is A Buy Here – Data I/O Corporation (NASDAQ:DAIO) | Seeking Alpha

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Ellie Mae, A Market Leader Trading At A Discount

November 14th, 2018 · No Comments

  • The company still manages to grow through headwinds from the mortgage markets, taking market share.
  • The mortgage market is expected to turn in the second half of next year.
  • Their platform enables customers to cut costs so it’s also relevant during lean times.
  • One can buy the market leader at discounted prices right now although it’s unlikely to generate an instant return.

Source: Ellie Mae, A Market Leader Trading At A Discount – Ellie Mae, Inc. (NYSEMKT:ELLI) | Seeking Alpha

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AMS AG Has Been Punished Too Much

November 14th, 2018 · No Comments

  • The share price are off by almost two-thirds from their peak earlier in the year on disappointing growth and gross margin compression.
  • But new design wins in the Android space should allay fears and we think the worst case scenario which is priced in isn’t going to materialize.
  • The company is still on track on meeting its 60% CAGR target and company’s finances are set to improve considerably.
  • So we think the shares are attractively priced here.

Source: AMS AG Has Been Punished Too Much – AMS AG ADR (OTCMKTS:AMSSY) | Seeking Alpha

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SHU Portfolio; Lumentum’s Business And Margin Are Exploding

November 14th, 2018 · No Comments

  • We think investors should take advantage of the price weakness here as the company is booming, with the boom set to continue.
  • Telecom has joined in the boom this time with a Chinese recovery and the company can sell twice the ROADMs they sold in the quarter.
  • Financial metrics are improving fast, with gross and operating margins, cash flow and profits on steep upward slopes. The shares are simply too cheap.

Source: SHU Portfolio; Lumentum’s Business And Margin Are Exploding – Lumentum Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:LITE) | Seeking Alpha

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The Curious Lure Of Austrian Economics In The Financial World

November 14th, 2018 · No Comments

  • Austrian economics favors ‘hard money’ policies that are curiously popular in the financial sector.
  • It’s curious because hard money policies don’t seem to serve the financial sector, acting as a bit of a brake on expansion.
  • Its predictive power in the post-financial crisis world also leaves much to be desired; investors would have done poorly following an Austrian investor diet.
  • It tends to blame the Fed for asset bubbles, and it’s here where we disagree most.

Source: The Curious Lure Of Austrian Economics In The Financial World | Seeking Alpha

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FormFactor Surges

November 7th, 2018 · No Comments

  • Investors re-priced the shares of FormFactor in one big 30% swoop yesterday, and rightly so in our view.
  • The company isn’t all that cyclical, although its customers are.
  • It has considerable structural tailwinds that should still work longer term, but we don’t see much immediate upside after that 30% rally.

Source: FormFactor Surges – FormFactor, Inc. (NASDAQ:FORM) | Seeking Alpha

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Unemployment And The Markets

November 7th, 2018 · No Comments

  • Unemployment is at multi-decades lows and this has already got the Fed into a preemptive tightening cycle, and getting this right matters a great deal for investor returns.
  • However, the expected wage inflation spilling over into prices and/or decreasing margins has really been unusually modest, given the tight labor market.
  • There are those who seem to argue rising wages isn’t even expansionary.

Source: Unemployment And The Markets | Seeking Alpha

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Majesco Is Underfollowed And Pretty Cheap

November 7th, 2018 · No Comments

  • The company helps insurance companies to become more agile and it is moving its solutions to the cloud.
  • As a result of this movement, headline revenue growth is understated and the company keeps expanding margins.
  • It has some significant partners like IBM and significant clients like MetLife.

Source: Majesco Is Underfollowed And Pretty Cheap – Majesco (NYSEMKT:MJCO) | Seeking Alpha

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The Market Is Not Done Selling

November 7th, 2018 · No Comments

  • The situation on the ground in Italy is deteriorating fast, with growth coming to a complete halt. The debt/GDP ratio will rise further as a result of the expansionary budget.
  • The reason is not only growth deceleration in the eurozone. It’s the rising Italian yield triggering a credit squeeze and capital flight and the end of QE in December looming.
  • The crisis is still just lingering, but it’s difficult to imagine what is going to reverse this situation, and as a result, an evaporation of confidence looms large.
  • A confidence crisis can be triggered at any moment by anything – a bad inflation figure out of the US, a trade escalation, declining world growth, etc.
  • We would advise you to keep a keen eye on the 10-year Italian yield.

Source: The Market Is Not Done Selling | Seeking Alpha

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JD.com: Nerves Of Steel And An Iron Conviction

November 2nd, 2018 · Comments Off on JD.com: Nerves Of Steel And An Iron Conviction

  • Investors should continue to check whether the business outlook for the companies of which stocks one holds are not significantly deteriorating.
  • Stocks can decline even without such substantial deterioration, as with the case of JD.com.
  • What an investor should do in these cases? We develop a few thoughts and highlight the work of few other SA contributors on the issue of hedging.

Source: JD.com: Nerves Of Steel And An Iron Conviction – JD.com (NASDAQ:JD) | Seeking Alpha

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