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New Model Portfolio

September 12th, 2014 · Comments Off

And trades, check it out here

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From Value Creation To Value Extraction

October 12th, 2014 · No Comments

  • When the SEC greatly facilitated corporate share buybacks and executive pay was tied to the stock price, the elements were in place for management to game the system.
  • Stock markets became vehicles for massive extraction, rather than funding, of corporations as these embarked on enormous share buybacks which boosted share prices and executive compensation.
  • While this has been the major fuel behind an epic stock market rally, the system isn’t without significant cost.

From Value Creation To Value Extraction | Seeking Alpha

→ No CommentsTags: Reform Capitalism

Are Central Banks Responsible For Asset Bubbles?

October 12th, 2014 · No Comments

  • Many assume central banks are the main culprit for creating asset bubbles by running too loose monetary policy.
  • However, central banks are not in control of longer-term interest rates and these have been on a downward trajectory for a couple of decades. We look at what’s behind this.
  • The fact that central banks aren’t the main culprit creating asset bubbles doesn’t mean they are helpless in preventing (or at least moderating) them.
  • But that comes at a significant cost which so far few central banks are willing to assume.

What If Central Banks Aren’t Responsible For Asset Bubbles? | Seeking Alpha

→ No CommentsTags: Financial crisis · Monetary policy

Japan’s Lost Decades Revisited

October 12th, 2014 · No Comments

  • Japan’s experiment with Abeconomics remains widely misunderstood.
  • It is modelled on an earlier successful Japanese reflation attempt in the 1930s.
  • Since the eurozone is plagued by similar ills which threaten the stability of the world economy, the experiment has special relevance here.

Japan’s Lost Decades Revisited | Seeking Alpha

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Protected: Research Report Solazyme

September 29th, 2014 · Comments Off

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Protected: New Research Report 22nd Century Group

September 28th, 2014 · Comments Off

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Risk is returning

September 10th, 2014 · Comments Off

  • We see risks to stocks increasing, it’s time to get more cautious.
  • The Ukrainian situation seems to escalate with the eurozone economy already in big trouble, but consumption growth in the US came to a halt and QE will follow, stock buybacks.
  • After the big rallies in stocks and bonds, time to bet against the euro and on a spike in the VIX, whilst being more cautious overall.

Risk Is Returning, Time To Sit On The Fence | Seeking Alpha

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Revolt in the Eurozone?

September 10th, 2014 · Comments Off

  • The present path of policies in the eurozone is not sustainable for economic nor for political reasons.
  • A move toward complete monetary union is politically unfeasible and the prospect of countries bolting from the policy constraints is real.
  • We believe the ground is more fertile for policy changes not only because of the above, but also because the German economy is no longer immune from the eurozone woes.
  • Mario Draghi seems to prepare the ground for a more aggressive monetary policy, European shares could benefit and the euro will fall further.

Revolt In The Eurozone? | Seeking Alpha

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Intrusion Rally Still Has Legs

September 3rd, 2014 · Comments Off

  • Intrusion (INTZ) is a little known security company with several interesting products.
  • TraceCop is a stable cash flow generating product that has a unique database which makes the product difficult to dislodge from the market.
  • Growth opportunities lie in its new product Savant, the sale of which goes largely through a big channel partner selling it under their own name and ramping up efforts.
  • Not widely known is that Savant beat a much bigger competitor to a substantial order, sign of market acceptance.

Intrusion Rally Still Has Legs – Intrusion, Inc. (OTCMKTS:INTZ) | Seeking Alpha

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The Japanification of Europe

August 31st, 2014 · Comments Off

  • The eurozone is resembling Japan’s lost decades ever closer on a host of metrics, including demographics, growth, inflation, yields and debts. In some respects, the eurozone crisis actually resembles the Great Depression of the 1930s.
  • If policy makers do not respond to this crisis, things are likely to get worse rather than better.
  • Japan responded with new policy initiatives, getting it out of deflation; its stocks remain a better bet until the ECB wakes up.

The Japanification Of Europe | Seeking Alpha

Comments OffTags: Economy · Eurocrisis