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OSH/PacLNG Deal Details Reported - Printable Version

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OSH/PacLNG Deal Details Reported - Tree - 02-27-2014

Speculation was confirmed when the company announced on Thursday it was taking a stake in the Elk/Atelope gas field to find potential feed stock for PNG liquefied natural gas project.

Oil Search will take its stake through a purchase of Pac LNG which is a 22.8% stakeholder in the project.

The company will pay $900 million to acquire all shares in Pac LNG which equates to $0.77 per million cubic foot of certified best estimate contingent resource.

The acquisition was unconditional and is expected to settle in two weeks.

Separately, Oil Search has entered into a binding heads of agreement with Pac LNG shareholders and other parties to undertake exclusive negotiations to purchase up to 100% interest in four other permits.

This is made up of a 13.4% interest in PPL 236 and PPL 238 and 11.04% interest in PPL 327 and PRL 39.

The exclusivity period will last for six months with the price to be negotiated in that time.

Oil Search said the purchase gave it access to the “largest undeveloped gas resource in PNG”.

“Oil Search estimates presently that gross Elk/Antelope best estimate contingent resources are 5.3 trillion cubic feet of raw gas including 75 million barrels of associated liquids,” the company said in a statement to the Australia Securities Exchange.

“Up to three appraisal wells, including the proposed Antelope- 4 well, are planned to be drilled on PRL 15 over the next 18 months, to prove up sufficient gas resources to support a new LNG development.”

Based on estimates, a potential LNG development from PRL 15 gas could warrant an expansion of PNG LNG or a standalone facility.

The asset is complementary to Oil Search’s existing interests which it could leverage to expand its presence in PNG.

Oil Search said cash flow from the project could support multiple LNG developments.

The company entered a trading halt on Tuesday pending the announcement.

It was tight-lipped about the material announcement but speculation was mounting it would involve the Elk/Antelope purchase.

Oil Search previously tipped the potetial for a new train or a new gas project before the deal was announced.

Full-year results were delayed pending the announcement, but Oil Search posted its results on Thursday afternoon.

The company posted a year-on-year profit jump of 17%, which the company said was a good result given the lower oil price.

The board has approved an unfranked dividend of $0.2 per share, with a view to change the dividend policy in 2015 as the PNG LNG project comes on stream.

The project, operated by ExxonMobil, is more than 95% complete as crews are starting demobilising and commissioning activities at the Hides Gas conditioning plant and the downstream site.

PNG LNG production is expected to have a “market impact” on 2014 oil and gas production despite the fact it will only be operational for part of the year.

2014 production guidance is expected to double on 2013 levels with the inclusion of PNG LNG production




RE: OSH/PacLNG Deal Details Reported - Putncalls - 02-27-2014

Tree

If OSH ended up with PAC LNG's share does that mean that IOC only has 7% of E/A?


RE: OSH/PacLNG Deal Details Reported - Tree - 02-27-2014

'Putncalls' pid='38102' datel Wrote:Tree If OSH ended up with PAC LNG's share does that mean that IOC only has 7% of E/A?

No.  This OSH % is a gross % as was PAC LNG/IPI, prior to Gov't opt in.  Gov't 22.5% stake will come from the 3 now existing partners, TOT, IOC and OSH.

The way to view this is owership after Gov't buy in.  Stated material stakes should be:

TOT    32.5%

IOC     30%

Gov't   22.5%

This leaves 15% for net for  OSH, or their may be more sell-downs by OSH, IOC or TOT.




RE: OSH/PacLNG Deal Details Reported - ebster123 - 02-27-2014

There was much talk about the gas but this about liquids was interesting:

"“Oil Search estimates presently that gross Elk/Antelope best estimate contingent resources are 5.3 trillion cubic feet of raw gas including 75 million barrels of associated liquids,” the company said in a statement to the Australia Securities Exchange."


RE: OSH/PacLNG Deal Details Reported - jft310 - 02-27-2014

Tree-show the board how you computed 15 percent as the OSH number.thks




RE: OSH/PacLNG Deal Details Reported - Tree - 02-27-2014

'jft310' pid='38108' datel Wrote:

Tree-show the board how you computed 15 percent as the OSH number.thks

I thought I did.

32.5 + 30 + 22.5 = 85%, leaves 15% for OSH at this point, assuming Gov't opts in for 22.5%.

Remember, as owners of the PRL 15 prior to Gov't opt in,  IOC, TOT and OSH stakes will be reduced proportionately to make up the Gov't stake.  Gov't will pat back in costs to these partners as well.  Could be Gov't opts in for less than 22.5% also.  We will see soon, like a couple weeks.

Jim, please do not share your tan lines with the board.




RE: OSH/PacLNG Deal Details Reported - sltibbs - 02-27-2014

Tree,

Sorry, but I am missing something. How do you get TOT at 32.5% net instead of 47.5%? Also, how do you get OSH at 15% if it shows they bought 22.8% gross, which is 17.7% net (22.8%*(1-22.5%))? Thanks.

Best,

Sam




RE: OSH/PacLNG Deal Details Reported - jft310 - 02-27-2014

So using SAMs number we can see a value of just E/A of $5 Billionish.




RE: OSH/PacLNG Deal Details Reported - ArtM72 - 02-27-2014

'Putncalls' pid='38102' dateline='<a href="tel:1393486 Wrote:Tree If OSH ended up with PAC LNG's share does that mean that IOC only has 7% of E/A?

sure looks that way to me.  Another damn case of bad PR.  Market opens and shitstorm returns I fear.  Unbelievable.




RE: OSH/PacLNG Deal Details Reported - cybersssss - 02-27-2014

Just a quick calculation, but based upon what Oil Search is paying PacLNG , my calculation is 3.1 billion based on 900 million for 23% of E/A. 3.1 billion is IOC's portion of E/A prior to sell down. This does not include upside from additional gas found over 7 TCF.