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RE: Pavel believes CEO change is a positive - ArtM72 - 04-24-2013

'jft310' pid='21248' datel Wrote:Phil thought IOC was worth $1,000 taday and others did not agree with him.

So if Phil thought IOC worht $1,000/sh why was he steamrolled other than the opportunity to make a fast bucK?  If you have a "visionary" in place with a long successful track record who thinks your shares are worth $1,000 why get rid of him?  That's the kind of guy you want running your company.

I'll stay with my first reaction.  I think it's Shell and Phil wouldn't stand for being a part of that given the history.  He probably had to be convinced to keep his seat on the board notwithstanding his personal stake..




RE: Pavel believes CEO change is a positive - CesiumFormate - 04-24-2013

If Phil left and did not keep his board seat then his open options would likely need to be purchased within 90 days. His staying involved as a board member keeps that from happening, and it keeps his options vesting. The board would likely rather that the announcement on Phil and a deal happen at the same time; however, when is CEO leaves his position it is almost always announced immediately with no wait. My guess is the partners and O'Neill were probably not ready to announce their side of the deal. Just as with any news, we need to see how it plays out. There is always too much speculation. As we found out here in Boston, there is a great deal of incorrect information that flies when there is a lot of anxiety. There is always someone wanting to make a story.

I personally do not expect a buyout to be announced with with deal. Even if it does get announced, there is a chance that it will put the company publicly in plan. It would not surprise me to see a buyout happen later.

I don't think we are giving Phil enough credit. There are very good reasons that he may be moving aside. Once you have a major as a partner, your span of control changes. That is not fun for an entrepreneur.
CF


RE: Pavel believes CEO change is a positive - katytrader - 04-24-2013

'ArtM72' pid='21253' datel Wrote:

'jft310' pid='21248' datel Wrote:Phil thought IOC was worth $1,000 taday and others did not agree with him.

So if Phil thought IOC worht $1,000/sh why was he steamrolled other than the opportunity to make a fast bucK?  If you have a "visionary" in place with a long successful track record who thinks your shares are worth $1,000 why get rid of him?  That's the kind of guy you want running your company.

I'll stay with my first reaction.  I think it's Shell and Phil wouldn't stand for being a part of that given the history.  He probably had to be convinced to keep his seat on the board notwithstanding his personal stake..

Art, every rsidential real estate agent will tell you of a tendency of a homeowner to value his property more than the market does.  In this case, a CEO who is holding on to unrealistic expectations with respect to the market....for whatever reason....is likely hindering company growth.

As an aside, years ago there was a Harvard Business School case on Head Ski.  The founder Howard Head was not the right person to move his company into its next stage of development.  After a lot of angst (which is why the case was written for classroom purposes), Head stepped aside from day-to-day management to head up R&D to develop new skis.  Now I have no idea if this fits IOC and PM, but the issue is not unknown and founders are not indispensable.  fwiw




RE: Pavel believes CEO change is a positive - jft310 - 04-24-2013

'ltinvest' pid='21250' datel Wrote:Guys, as I now understand it.......Phil did not "retire". Phil was in a major disagreement with the board as was insisting on one deal and the board is favoring a different deal. The BOD decided to make the CEO change. Maybe this is like news coverage of the Boston Marathon bombing and you get some good and some incorrect information in real time.......but I thought it worthy of a post. The BOD respectfully allowed him to "retire" but this about a more comprehensive deal the BOD wants to complete.

I am with Itinvest here. We know the PNG govt wants this all working quickly and Phil I am sure knew he could the extra pieces sold off for more money in the future. Phil may have just wanted a sell down of PRL 15 and others especially the PNG govt wanted partnership at Triceratops and at 236/8. Or selling more than Phils plan. More partners more drilling.

This fits with WA rumored comments at IPAA 8 rigs drilling fully funded drilling program.




RE: Pavel believes CEO change is a positive - ArtM72 - 04-24-2013

Katy -

I recognize and appreciate your views, and without question I know about that "attachment". On the other hand, Phil had IOC's plans well laid out for future growth and development in 236 and 238, with a major commitment by PRE for doing so in 237. As I recall Head insisted on staying with wood core skiis for the longest time while everyone else went fiberglass. I should know. I broke five pair (ok, one pair wasn't made by Head).

Rather than Phil holding unrealistic expectations for the value of the string of pearls I think that others didn't want to take an extended view. They saw an opportunity for a fast buck and Phil stood in their way. I'm now in the crowd thinking IOC does not last the year, wondering what the current and final deals will be.


RE: Pavel believes CEO change is a positive - Gator - 04-24-2013

By Arie Shapira
April 23 (Bloomberg) -- InterOil CEO departure a “logical
step” that may help accelerate LNG partnership deal, Raymond
James analyst Pavel Molchanov writes in note.
* Several major holders have pushed for CEO change for years,
Molchanov says, citing talks w/ IOC and investors
* Raymond James rates IOC outperform, PT $100
* IOC has 2 buys w/ 0 holds or sells; avg PT $107.50
* IOC short interest 19% of float: Markit
* IOC shrs up 39% YTD as of yday; down as much as 5.1% today
* NOTE: April 15, IOC said in talks w/ more than one bidder on
Gulf LNG project; UpstreamOnline said April 12 Shell is
“likely” partner, citing people familiar.


RE: Pavel believes CEO change is a positive - Getitrt2 - 04-24-2013

Full Raymond James comment:

CEO’s Departure Is a Logical Step That Should Help Accelerate Partnership

♦ InterOil has announced that CEO Phil Mulacek is leaving his position effective April 30
(while retaining a board seat). Mulacek had already given up his chairmanship in July 2012,
a move that was well received by the market at the time. Based on our conversations with
the company and ongoing dialogue with investors, our sense is that several major
shareholders have been pushing for a CEO change over the past several years, so this latest
news marks a logical step along the way.

♦ While Mulacek’s entrepreneurial drive succeeded in building a $4 billion energy company,
he has been a sharply polarizing figure. We are of the view that at least some investors
(and, presumably, prospective partners) have come to perceive him as an obstacle to a
successful LNG partnership deal. According to local publication PNG Industry News
(http://www.pngindustrynews.net/storyview.asp?storyid=798461971§ionsource=s0),
CFO Collin Visaggio has specifically confirmed that Mulacek’s departure is part of the
process to get the company ready for the partnership deal. This does not mean that his
departure was a precondition for a deal, but we look at the news as a positive
development, a catalyst for an accelerated timeline towards a partnership announcement.

♦ In the meantime, an executive search is underway to fill the CEO’s position, and we would
not be surprised to see someone with major energy company experience. We would also
not be surprised if the new CEO comes from the Asia-Pacific region, i.e., someone with
first-hand experience in Papua New Guinea or nearby countries.


RE: Pavel believes CEO change is a positive - ellerslick - 04-24-2013

'Getitrt2' pid='21261' datel Wrote:Full Raymond James comment: CEO’s Departure Is a Logical Step That Should Help Accelerate Partnership ♦ InterOil has announced that CEO Phil Mulacek is leaving his position effective April 30 (while retaining a board seat). Mulacek had already given up his chairmanship in July 2012, a move that was well received by the market at the time. Based on our conversations with the company and ongoing dialogue with investors, our sense is that several major shareholders have been pushing for a CEO change over the past several years, so this latest news marks a logical step along the way. ♦ While Mulacek’s entrepreneurial drive succeeded in building a $4 billion energy company, he has been a sharply polarizing figure. We are of the view that at least some investors (and, presumably, prospective partners) have come to perceive him as an obstacle to a successful LNG partnership deal. According to local publication PNG Industry News (http://www.pngindustrynews.net/storyview.asp?storyid=798461971§ionsource=s0), CFO Collin Visaggio has specifically confirmed that Mulacek’s departure is part of the process to get the company ready for the partnership deal. This does not mean that his departure was a precondition for a deal, but we look at the news as a positive development, a catalyst for an accelerated timeline towards a partnership announcement. ♦ In the meantime, an executive search is underway to fill the CEO’s position, and we would not be surprised to see someone with major energy company experience. We would also not be surprised if the new CEO comes from the Asia-Pacific region, i.e., someone with first-hand experience in Papua New Guinea or nearby countries.

Good we are getting something from Raymond James.  In typical IOC press release fashion, we get a muddle.  The algo's are already at work. Wait for the heavy volume to subside and drag it down.  Really bush league how this company communicates. Can we get rid of Wayne Andrews.  Of course all the big players I am sure are appraised of what is going on. We get to do what we do best,wait.




RE: Pavel believes CEO change is a positive - johnwgrant - 04-24-2013

'ellerslick' pid='21262' datel Wrote:

'Getitrt2' pid='21261' datel Wrote:Full Raymond James comment: CEO’s Departure Is a Logical Step That Should Help Accelerate Partnership ♦ InterOil has announced that CEO Phil Mulacek is leaving his position effective April 30 (while retaining a board seat). Mulacek had already given up his chairmanship in July 2012, a move that was well received by the market at the time. Based on our conversations with the company and ongoing dialogue with investors, our sense is that several major shareholders have been pushing for a CEO change over the past several years, so this latest news marks a logical step along the way. ♦ While Mulacek’s entrepreneurial drive succeeded in building a $4 billion energy company, he has been a sharply polarizing figure. We are of the view that at least some investors (and, presumably, prospective partners) have come to perceive him as an obstacle to a successful LNG partnership deal. According to local publication PNG Industry News (http://www.pngindustrynews.net/storyview.asp?storyid=798461971§ionsource=s0), CFO Collin Visaggio has specifically confirmed that Mulacek’s departure is part of the process to get the company ready for the partnership deal. This does not mean that his departure was a precondition for a deal, but we look at the news as a positive development, a catalyst for an accelerated timeline towards a partnership announcement. ♦ In the meantime, an executive search is underway to fill the CEO’s position, and we would not be surprised to see someone with major energy company experience. We would also not be surprised if the new CEO comes from the Asia-Pacific region, i.e., someone with first-hand experience in Papua New Guinea or nearby countries.

Good we are getting something from Raymond James.  In typical IOC press release fashion, we get a muddle.  The algo's are already at work. Wait for the heavy volume to subside and drag it down.  Really bush league how this company communicates. Can we get rid of Wayne Andrews.  Of course all the big players I am sure are appraised of what is going on. We get to do what we do best,wait.

I'll speak up for Wayne Andrews.   He has done an excellent job for InterOil and has always communicated as much information as possible to the market.   He has NOT been involved directly in the selldown - so, I expect that this turn of events may be a surprise to him as well.  IMHO, it is the BOD where the power play/struggle has played out - Wayne will not have played a role in the current brouhaha.




RE: Pavel believes CEO change is a positive - SamAdams - 04-24-2013

John:

You are absolutely right about Wayne.  Wayne is one of the biggest reasons the institutional shareholder base is so strong in thier position.  Wayne is highly respected and trusted by the institutional community.  I'm not sure how many realize his importance in keeping the base intact.  I thought of creatinga  poll based on the last time someone spoke to Wayne.  He will "go dark" just prior to the deal announcement as he is brought into the inner circle on the deal.

As it relates to Phil, I am shocked by the news today or at least the timing.  I am a big fan of his and what he's accomplished but it has become clear for some time that the company needed to get to the next level.  They could not do that without the government and the $$ from a deal.  Whether he was an impediment in the late stages here or just not acceptable to the bidders, it is unfortunate.  Phil was viewed skeptically by many institutional investors.  While beimg smart investors though, most have never created or run companies.  I will follow Phil with interest in his future endeavors.

I think it was Art who posted that perhaps Shell is the winner and Phil won't go along on that ride, at least as the CEO.  This makes the most sense to me as Phil is retiring on his own terms and I would imagine timed this so he is the CEO the day the deal is announced (prior to April 30th).  This saves Phil from being replaced by the evil empire once the deal is done.

The other option that Phil had to retire to complete the deal is also possible but why not wait?  Perhaps Phil ruffled feathers in the past at the winning bidder and they just wanted him out of the way.  In any event, the BoD has to do whats in the best interest of all shareholders and if that means Phil had to step aside or wanted to then so be it.  If there were anything materially negative behind the scenes it would have had to been disclosed so the fact that this was all that was announced is supportive of the deal being almost done.  I think as others have pointed out, the tea leaves in the PR hinted to that.

What will tomorrow bring?