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January 2016 - Printable Version +- ShareholdersUnite Forums (http://shareholdersunite.com/mybb) +-- Forum: SHU Portfolio (http://shareholdersunite.com/mybb/forumdisplay.php?fid=57) +--- Forum: SHU Portfolio (http://shareholdersunite.com/mybb/forumdisplay.php?fid=46) +--- Thread: January 2016 (/showthread.php?tid=9535) |
RE: January 2016 - admin - 01-08-2016 We're sort of mystified at Jim Cramer for the following: TheStreet’s Action Alerts PLUS Portfolio Manager Jim Cramer isn’t a fan of the volatility index, or VIX, amid the global markets sell off. ‘I’m not a big fan of the VIX as a measure of anything,’ Cramer said. ‘What I like to do is actually sense the real anxiety of the market and I think the anxiety is manifested by something like a Twitter – where it’s pretty clear that people think it’s 2008 again. That was systemic risk, this is cyclical risk and I’m taking systemic off the table for all but China.’ Stocks across the globe have been sinking since Monday, triggered by worries over the health of China’s economy and what may happen to China stocks once its 6-month stock sale ban for its biggest investors (put in place last summer) expires Friday. Though various reports suggest China will extend the ban in an effort to prevent a further stock slump. Jim Cramer Likes Bank of America, Isn’t a Fan of the Volatility Index - Video - TheStreet The sell-off has little to do with the Chinese stock market, but everything to do with the capital outflow and a loomind devaluation of the yuan.
The China Crisis Is Real And Dangerous | Seeking Alpha
RE: January 2016 - admin - 01-08-2016 Saudi Arabia has shot itself in the foot to such an extent that they're mulling over rather unprecedented measures: Saudi Arabia is considering an IPO of Saudi Aramco, the world’s biggest crude oil producer, deputy crown price Mohammed bin Salman says in an interview with The Economist.Saudi officials say the company is worth "trillions of dollars," which would make it worth at least double Apple's ~$555B market cap; in the energy sector, Exxon Mobil's current market cap is ~$324B.Aramco’s oil production is double its nearest rivals and accounts for more than 10% of global output, but the slump in crude prices to 12-year lows has squeezed revenue for oil producers including Saudi Arabia.Such a move would be an "epochal change in the oil industry,” says Bob McNally, founder of Washington-based consultant The Rapidan Group and a former senior oil White House official. “Saudi Arabia is getting ready to ride the oil-price roller-coaster, not control it." Saudis considering IPO for Saudi Aramco, bin Salman says | Seeking Alpha Their reserves are unmatched, in the order of 10x those of ExxonMobil, which would value the company at $2.5 trillion...
RE: January 2016 - admin - 01-09-2016 Rosenblatt downgraded INVN to neutral with a $10 target, Samsung had disappointing smartphone sales, there is talk of Apple having the same problems so it looks like INVN is going nowhere for the moment.. RE: January 2016 - admin - 01-09-2016
'admin' pid='65805' datel Wrote: But INVN is also heavily oversold and at a multi-year, multi support level.. RE: January 2016 - admin - 01-11-2016 Time for some cooling off: A dramatic market rise followed by an equally spectacular fall, such as a doubling in prices that is followed by a halving in value, is often regarded as a bubble followed by a bust. Seeking out such events, Goetzmann analyzes returns for 42 stock markets around the world from 1900 through 2014. He finds that bubble-and-bust episodes are uncommon, and urges caution in drawing conclusions from the widely-reported and discussed great bubbles of history. www.nber.org/digest/jan16/w21693.html RE: January 2016 - admin - 01-11-2016 Most stocks are already in a bear market, unless China implodes this suggests that we're closer to the bottom and we're not going to repeat 2008, in our view. See our latest article:.
It's A Bear Market Already! | Seeking Alpha RE: January 2016 - admin - 01-11-2016 Considerable risks remain in China: China is perilously close to a devaluation crisis as the yuan threatens to break through the floor of its currency basket, despite massive intervention by the central bank to defend the exchange rate. The country burned through at least $120bn of foreign reserves in December, twice the previous record, the clearest evidence to date that capital outflows have reached systemic proportions. “There is certainly a sense that the situation is spiraling out of control,” said Mark Williams, from Capital Economics. Capital flight pushes China to the brink of devaluation - Telegraph China’s reserves have dwindled from $4 trillion to $3.33 trillion and are no longer far from the $2.6 trillion deemed to be the prudent threshold by the International Monetary Fund, given China’s $1.2 trillion dollar liabilities. Capital flight pushes China to the brink of devaluation - Telegraph But it is not all doom and gloom, whilst the problems exist in 'old China' (smokestack, stateowned industry), with lots of overcapacity and debts, the new China (services, consumer goods, technology, innovation) is buzzing along: Though some industries suffer from overcapacity, there’s still a significant shortage in health care and education…. The moment you show the direction, a lot of resources and energy in the country will come forward. Can China Pull Off the Great Economic Recasting? That 'direction' must come from the new 5 year plan.. RE: January 2016 - admin - 01-12-2016 We're selling short 1 July Vix future at $22.35 RE: January 2016 - admin - 01-12-2016 We're probably a little early with this trade, as the market might very well have another downleg, but volatility is mean reversing and this future expires in July, we have half a year for things to calm down... RE: January 2016 - admin - 01-12-2016 Here is what, according to Jim Cramer, is necessary for stabilizing the markets:
Good luck to that! Not in our lifetime, it appears.. |