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China's Race for Resources - Palm - 07-23-2012

China continues to buy up energy resources.  Canadian company bought for over $15 billion and over last 6 years China has spent over $400 billion; about $1 billion/week on direct investment abroad.  ChObama thirst for resources is in full swing and wil drive up prices for companies like IOC.  I hate the tought of that:

"China’s “Race for Resources”: Dambisa Moyo Sees Commodity Conflicts and Scarcity Ahead

Much has been made about China's huge investments in resource-rich Africa in recent years and Chinese President Hu Jintao pledged another $20 billion in loans during his visit last week.

But it's not just Africa where China is looking to secure access to commodities, notes international economist Dambisa Moyo. "There's not a single region left untouched," she says in the accompanying video, noting China's extensive trade with Brazil, its recent "laptops for pork" deal with Canada, pacts with Kazakhstan and Russia for uranium and oil, as well as land-development in Australia. And on Monday, Canada's major oil producer Nexen announced it has agreed to be acquired by China's CNOOC in a $15.1 billion deal, giving the Chinese oil company a strong position in the North American oil market.

"Simply put, the Chinese are on a global shopping spree," Moyo writes. "And its voracious commodity appetite is unlikely to abate significantly even if China's economic growth rates were to cool."

China's growth rate did cool in the second quarter to 7.6%, its slowest in three years. The CRB Index is down about 18% from its recent peak as the global slowdown has hit demand -- with the notable exceptions of agricultural commodities such as corn and soybeans.

But Moyo is looking beyond short-term fluctuations in her latest book, Winner Takes All: China's Race for Resources and What It Means.

Broadly speaking, commodity scarcity and rising competition for commodities is "by far the biggest issues the world faces in the coming decade," according to Moyo. "Looking ahead, the forecast is for many more conflicts and much more significant pressure on commodity prices, all borne out of commodity scarcity."

While the U.S. periodically gets up in arms (sometimes literally) over rising oil prices, or gold or corn on a short-term basis, Moyo notes China is taking a "very expansive and very deliberate approach" to securing resources.

In the past six years, China has spent about $400 billion, about $1 billion per week, on direct investment abroad, much of it focused on commodities.

China "seems to be only country that in a very systematic and deliberate way has a multilateral approach to securing commodities around the world," Moyo says.

Although some accuse China of neo-Colonialism, Moyo says they're "purely there for economic motives, linked to their political imperatives at home: they've got to deliver economic growth and reduce poverty."

China's commodity strategy does seem rational, but it also appears to putting itself on a collision course with the West, most notably the U.S.

Moyo isn't convinced that's inevitable but does predict "many more conflicts and much more significant pressure on commodity prices all borne out of commodity scarcity" in the decades ahead."

http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/china-race-resources-dambisa-moyo-sees-commodity-conflicts-120025018.html




RE: China's Race for Resources - Tree - 07-23-2012

Kinda seems like energy buyers are scurrying about the globe locking up prospects. High premiums paid today will prove to be bargain basement buys. I'm gad we have a greedy CEO and a BOD Chair with mucho skin in the game. Maybe they will figure out a tax-free way to compensate shareholders as they would stand to benefit the most.


RE: China's Race for Resources - Palm - 07-23-2012

We recently saw the Cove deal; huge premium, the other Canadian company; a huge premium and now this Nexen deal at a 61% premium. These were for at-sea and shale assets. Wonder what someone would pay for a land-based liquids-rich resource?


RE: China's Race for Resources - bam - 07-24-2012

'Palm' pid='7118' datel Wrote:We recently saw the Cove deal; huge premium, the other Canadian company; a huge premium and now this Nexen deal at a 61% premium. These were for at-sea and shale assets. Wonder what someone would pay for a land-based liquids-rich resource?

does anyone have an estimate of what the Cove deal was worth ($/per mcf)? i always see it quoted in the press that they own an 8.5% stake in the mozambique field, but when i looked through the filings, it wasn't as clear as that to me.  And I'm not sure what type of tax or share goes to the mozambique government - and whether that was already factored into that 8.5% stake.  The resource estimate also seemed quite wide to me.  Thanks.