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6 Bids-Land Based 4 Mtpa Trains x 3 - Printable Version

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6 Bids-Land Based 4 Mtpa Trains x 3 - Tree - 10-09-2012


We knew the 4 Mtpa trains from the recent presentations.  We did not know they had 6 bids in.  HoHoHo.  We now KNOW that IOC has provided all info needed for NEC to now take up the Gulf LNG matter.  Before last week, the NEC could not have approved Gulf LNG.  Now they can......


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InterOil trains its aim on onshore PNG option


CANADIAN company InterOil has confirmed its liquefied natural gas project in Papua New Guinea will follow a more traditional development model based on an initial train producing 4 million tonnes per annum of LNG.

The changes are not unexpected as InterOil and joint venture partner Pacific LNG were under a lot of pressure from the PNG government to change the previous concept.

The new model confirms that the previous proposal of a mid-scale modularised onshore plant, combined with a floating LNG vessel, is no longer an option.

In its place is a single onshore LNG train of 4 million tpa, which InterOil said it hopes to bring on stream in 2016, followed by a second identical train two years later.

Project capital expenditure for the two-train project is between $8.3 billion and $9.3 billion. Plans also accommodate a potential third train.

InterOil said a major cost saving has been achieved by changing the location of the proposed LNG plant from the Port Moresby area to the Bluff area closer to InterOil’s Elk-Antelope gas and condensate fields, which are the feedstock source.

The company said it is “ready to go” to a final investment decision “as all project segments are financeable, but is dependant on PNG government permits, licences and land”. The contracting strategy could not be confirmed as Upstream went to press.

There are other unknowns, including the government’s response to the new plan, and the big issue of which major company will join the project as operator.

The PNG government had previously instructed InterOil to introduce an LNG major, and it is understood InterOil has received six offers from companies, including Shell, Chevron and national oil companies.

Once a partner is introduced, InterOil said the type of LNG technology would be selected.

InterOil claims it has already used world-class LNG contractors such as WorleyParsons, Siemens, Mitsui, Toyo Engineering, Hyundai and EDG. There are other uncertainties, including the project’s gas reserves, although InterOil takes a positive view, with third-party evaluations giving a low estimate of 6.19 trillion cubic feet of sales gas and a high estimate of 9.94 Tcf of sales gas.

There are also understood to be uncertainties over the equity ownership of the gas.

InterOil has just spudded the Antelope-3 onshore appraisal well in a bid to prove up field reserves, and also plans to soon drill the Elk-3 development well.

In terms of LNG offtake, there are four heads of agreements in place for a total of between 3.3 million tpa and 3.8 million tpa, with Noble Group, Gunvor, ENN Energy and a Philippines power project.




RE: 6 Bids-Land Based 4 Mtpa Trains x 3 - TxPm - 10-09-2012

"There are also understood to be uncertainties over the equity ownership of the gas."

Any thoughts on this statement


RE: 6 Bids-Land Based 4 Mtpa Trains x 3 - Getitrt2 - 10-09-2012

I would think that is referring to the pending final selection of a bidder and reaching the sell down/partnership deal.


RE: 6 Bids-Land Based 4 Mtpa Trains x 3 - Tree - 10-09-2012

'TxPm' pid='10928' datel Wrote:"There are also understood to be uncertainties over the equity ownership of the gas." Any thoughts on this statement

That is a 'new' facet to these negotiations.  Could be Gov't or landowners are trying to buy acquire a larger %, (we heard last week or so that PNG wanted 50% of the project)  could be the equity partners like Civelli and minors are contesting IOC's ability to sell a stake and claw back interest from partners to bolster IOC's %.  I do not think IOC's equity in gas ownership is at risk whatsoever.




RE: 6 Bids-Land Based 4 Mtpa Trains x 3 - jft310 - 10-09-2012

OMG moment. In addition to Obama Must Go!


RE: 6 Bids-Land Based 4 Mtpa Trains x 3 - Palm - 10-09-2012

This statement goes along with the statement from a while back that I keep raising. When they mentioned the Gas Agreement they also stated that "ownership" percentages are part of what's being negotiated. I think it's possible PNG wants a bigger piece of the pie; 30% or more.


RE: 6 Bids-Land Based 4 Mtpa Trains x 3 - TxPm - 10-09-2012

Palm, do you think that if PNG negotiates a higher % they pay whatever the SM pays per mcf?


RE: 6 Bids-Land Based 4 Mtpa Trains x 3 - Palm - 10-09-2012

That's the $10 billion question. I believe the Oil & Gas Act states that the government and LOs can elect "up to" 22.5% ownership and for that they must only pay back end loaded sunk costs. Since tat Act has not been changed, I would think that anything above the 22.5% must be at "market" and paid with normal terms for these projects. I've not reviewed the O&G Act specifically on this, but I believe these terms are some that IOC had input on as well as the royalty and tax rates.

We ought to know soon. My gut says we have NEC approval by the 15th and for some reason I'm predicting by Wednesday. WAG


RE: 6 Bids-Land Based 4 Mtpa Trains x 3 - jft310 - 10-09-2012

WA in London with RJ stated NEC approval anyday.Recorded Conference. Last Monday in the AM E. Calio told a group of clients verbally they expected NEC approval within two weeks. Fits with WA comments recorded in London.That was after the investor trip. Its fair to ask are they right this time.??One day soon they will be right . Is this it??


RE: 6 Bids-Land Based 4 Mtpa Trains x 3 - CesiumFormate - 10-09-2012

Tree,
Don't you find it interesting that this came out after yesterday's close, and IOC did not do a press release on something they supposedly confirmed before open today? I would consider this information new, and material, requiring disclosure.

I find this news exciting, but suspect when I don't see it backed up.

CF