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What is the API gravity of Elk/Antelope condensate? - Printable Version

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What is the API gravity of Elk/Antelope condensate? - johnwgrant - 02-23-2013

Note: decided to start a new thread....   See 'research' in earlier thread here: http://shareholdersunite.com/mybb/showthread.php?tid=2849

Anyway, I was going back through old presentations.   I must be getting forgetful, but, here is something that I had forgotten...   Way back on Antelope-1 Sidetrack DST's...  Page 19 of the 42 page presentation dated 8/12/2009.   Anyhow...  we know the API gravity of the oil that they've found so far !!!   35 API gravity !!!!

http://www.interoil.com/iocfiles/documents/investorrelations/presentationanddocuments/2009/2009-08-12_InterOil_Enercom_comp.pdf

DST#13 ST2 – 2,375 to 2,402 meters.

Recovered oil and very little gas.

The oil measured 35 degree API

gravity in the field.




RE: What is the API gravity of Elk/Antelope condensate? - petrengr1 - 02-23-2013

John- Google "Interoil degrees API".
Don't get the wrong Interoil.

Looks like it has ranged from 33 to 47 degrees API.


RE: What is the API gravity of Elk/Antelope condensate? - johnwgrant - 02-23-2013

'petrengr1' pid='17646' datel Wrote:John- Google "Interoil degrees API". Don't get the wrong Interoil. Looks like it has ranged from 33 to 47 degrees API.

If in fact the InterOil condensate is 33 to 47 degrees API gravity, then (based on the article below) InterOil should be getting a lot higher selling price - ie, a much smaller discount to Brent...        Is my thinking/logic wacko !?!?


http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/falklands/new-153233

In April last year, Borders & Southern announced that it had made a significant gas condensate discovery with its first well in the South Falkland Basin. The Darwin structure comprises two adjacent tilted fault blocks: Darwin East (which contains the discovery well 61/17-1) and Darwin West (untested). The fault blocks are clearly defined by high quality 3D seismic data. Fluid analysis has revealed that the discovery contains a relatively high liquid content. Initial reservoir engineering studies, suggested that 130 to 250 million barrels of liquid could be recovered, with a mid case of 190 million barrels (split almost equally between the two fault blocks). Subsequent studies have shown that, if there is strong aquifer support, the mid case could be as high as 210 million barrels. The reservoir engineering study has also demonstrated that more liquid could be recovered by gas recycling than by gas depletion.

******

A geochemical analysis of the condensate liquid has been undertaken along with a screening level marketing study. Whilst the quantity of condensate available for analysis was limited, and further analysis will be required, preliminary observations indicate that the liquid is typical of an ultra-light crude oil and somewhat heavier than most condensates (API gravity of 44.5 to 49°Wink. A comparison product, albeit slightly lighter, would be Alba condensate, produced in Equatorial Guinea. Closest potential markets for the condensate would be South America, the Caribbean and South Africa. Based on this initial study, the Company believes that the condensate might trade at a slight discount to the Brent crude oil benchmark price ($1 to $6 per barrel).




RE: What is the API gravity of Elk/Antelope condensate? - johnwgrant - 02-23-2013

'petrengr1' pid='17646' datel Wrote:John- Google "Interoil degrees API". Don't get the wrong Interoil. Looks like it has ranged from 33 to 47 degrees API.

Hmmm....   per the following PR regarding Elk-4...   the condensate is  48 degrees API gravity !!!!    Now, it could be that the condensate in the Antelope portion of the structure is "lighter" (ie, has a higher API gravity), but, I'll go with the 48 degrees until someone proves otherwise.

My point remains this:   this is going to go for a much smaller discount to Brent crude than we think !!!!    AIMHO Smile

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aLJi34HiyBVo




RE: What is the API gravity of Elk/Antelope condensate? - Palm - 02-23-2013

That's the drum several of us have been pounding for a few years. The gas is great, but "it's the liquids stupid!"

The gas is onshore, in a huge reservoir and is very clean. AND it is very wet with high quality liquids. It's what gives the overall project a very low net cost of production and a very high return.


RE: What is the API gravity of Elk/Antelope condensate? - jft310 - 02-23-2013

Phil M in a Reuters interview May 2009??? stated IOC could save $1 Billion a year if it could provide its own feedstock to the refinery.IOC currently buys feedstock and refines it and marks the final product up on margins agreed to with the PNG govt. Oil prices were higher than thats true. Adjust for oil price difference oil was $150 a barrel then and $117 today and yes IOC uses Brent pricing not WTI. Estimated condensate output is 24,000 barrels a day in a product that could be sold or refined with some costs at IOC's refinery in Port Moresby. How many know that the $100 million loan was for the refinery and its growth.????


RE: What is the API gravity of Elk/Antelope condensate? - Stavros - 02-25-2013

From what I've seen over the years in various PR's, IOC Reports and industry information ...

The Elk/ Antelope Condensate is in the area of 43-47 API Gravity. It is a relatively heavier Condensate than others in the region, such as NW Shelf (Australia) and Senipah (Indonesia) which have API's ranging from 52-59 (remember, the higher the API, the lighter the Condensate).

For reference, the Kutubu Crude has a very similar API to E/A Condensate. Kutubu Crude is compared to E/ A Condensate below (mass%):

. . . . . . . . . . . . . .Kutubu . . . . . . . . .Elk/ Antelope (data I found)
API . . . . . . . . . . . . 46.6 . . . . . . . . . . .43-47
Sulfur . . . . . . . . . . . 0.04 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.15
TAN . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.04 . . . . . . . . . . . . ???
LPG . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.7 . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.0 (the LPG would be in the E/A gas and not in the Condensate)
NAPHTHA . . . . . . . . .31.8 . . . . . . . . . . . . 46.4
JET/KERO . . . . . . . . .17.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . 24.9
DIESEL/GASOIL . . . . . 25.5 . . . . . . . . . . . . 17.9
LSFO . . . . . . . . . . . . 15.9 . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.8
HSFO . . . . . . . . . . . - - . . . . . . . . . . . . . - -

The E/A Condensate contains more Naphtha and Jet/Kerosene range materials than Kutubu and less Diesel/ Gas Oil and Low Sulfur Fuel Oil.

So InterOil would certainly have to spend some money to modify the refinery to run 100% E/A Condensate and then they would produce a different range of products if they used E/A Condensate to replace Crude.

The options they have, it seems to me, are:

+ Sell all the E/ A Condensate and continue to import Crude (or use Kutubu Crude)
+ Modifiy the refinery to run 100% E/A Condensate and produce different ratios of products
+ Run about 10-20% E/A Condensate in the refinery without any modifications and mix it with heavier crudes to synthesize a blend that is similar to the Kutubu compostion

I believe that the value of the E/A Condensate is about $5-7 per barrel lower than a typical Crude.
Any talk of a huge price reduction for E/A Condesnte as compared to Crude is not correct.