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Cash per share payments - Printable Version

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Cash per share payments - jft310 - 12-14-2013

One needs to make some assumptions

assume share count stays flat at 50 million shares

with payments of $4.1 billion within 2 years that's $82 a share in cash per share not discounted

this assumes we recertify at 9.8 T's the GLJ , Knowledge Reservoir and close to an adjusted GCA estimate for Antelope

now we must deal with the IPI . Assume we give them shares say the share count rises to 60 million shares

we still get the $4.1 dollars

so we get $68 per share in cash in 2 years and the current stock price is $54

further understand we still keep  30 percent of e/a assets

plus have a 30 percent interest in an LNG plant

plus we will own 40 percent of the rest of the finds

so $54 a share is a joke

expect this to change soon




RE: Cash per share payments - admin - 12-14-2013

Funny enough, you're almost exactly reproducing my calc from the SA article (which started with the $4.1B added value for the remaining 30% and then added 10M shares for IPIs), but that might have been lost in the rather colossal number that Bonk did in the comment sector (on so many levels that it is only now fully dawning to me).

Nota bene, not all of the $4.1B is being paid at certification, supposedly in 2015, but $3.2 is (indeed, $613M comes pretty soon, upon signing, supposing that will happen Smile)


RE: Cash per share payments - jft310 - 12-14-2013

agreed STP


RE: Cash per share payments - Putncalls - 12-14-2013

Wyt only 40% of new finds outside of PRL 15? I Thought it would be 55%. Doesn't the govwernment have to pay for past drilling in order to get their share?


RE: Cash per share payments - Putncalls - 12-14-2013

Sorry about my typos? wyt is why BTW.


RE: Cash per share payments - jft310 - 12-14-2013

That farm out agreement has not been released . The 40 percent number came from the roadshow