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MS on OSH - Printable Version +- ShareholdersUnite Forums (http://shareholdersunite.com/mybb) +-- Forum: Companies (http://shareholdersunite.com/mybb/forumdisplay.php?fid=1) +--- Forum: InterOil Forum (http://shareholdersunite.com/mybb/forumdisplay.php?fid=4) +--- Thread: MS on OSH (/showthread.php?tid=8167) |
MS on OSH - Gator - 02-11-2015 February 11, 2015 Oil Search Ltd. Quick Comment: Arbitration claim dismissed InterOil has advised that the International Chamber of Commerce arbitration panel has dismissed OSH’s claim to a pre-emptive right over the December 2013 transaction between InterOil and Total. This ruling admits Total SA to PRL15 petroleum licenses which host the Elk / Antelope gas fields, and resolves, for the time being, ownership issues. It now appears highly likely that this project will move forward as an independent JV. Integration in some form with the Exxon-operated LNG project, while potentially desirable, now looks a little harder and adds a degree of commercial complexity. Our base case valuation is unaffected by this decision, but given the reduced probability of a faster, integrated development, it attenuates a potential source of upside. Our last published valuation included 73c for OSH’s 23% share of PRL15, which is book value and is small in the context of the current share price. The size and timing of a future project are subject to successful appraisal of the gas fields, which is ongoing through 2015. We retain an Equal-weight rating. |