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06-21-2016, 11:29 AM
OSH shares aren't so bad. They go up and everything
06-21-2016, 12:18 PM
Come on Putz.
You're missing the entire point again. The Rotten Raw Deal undervalues IOC by over 30%, and must be voted down as if stands. As Shareholders, once we get fair value, we can each decide whether to keep the OSH Shares or sell them
Drivel Maven with Personality
It makes me feel like I was robbed! It's like the farmer having his recent harvest taken by the guys who make steel.
06-21-2016, 01:24 PM
'Kaliboo' pid='72572' datel Wrote:PM already owns a tick under 20% of Kina Petroleum.
06-21-2016, 01:35 PM
'Stavros' pid='72575' datel Wrote:Come on Putz. You're missing the entire point again. The Rotten Raw Deal undervalues IOC by over 30%, and must be voted down as if stands. As Shareholders, once we get fair value, we can each decide whether to keep the OSH Shares or sell them C'mon Stavros. Do you really think 30%? MAYBE 30% for the gas value in E/A, but that's zero for Papua LNG. And of course that's zero for the company's future including TBR. There's a reason why Hession spent all that money to get those PPLs current.
06-21-2016, 03:33 PM
So, how much Art?
If the current Rotten Raw Deal nets IOC Shareholders $60-65, then I'm suggesting $85 is the minimum acceptable Deal Value. The issue, as Mr Maximus has spoken about, is that we still don't have a clue how much gas is in E/A! This so-called "unlimited upside CVR" does not cover what IOC would get if TOTAL pays based on the current SPA terms. So, for the 102nd time, I think we should get: 1. 10 shares of OSH per share of IOC - - - at the current OSH PPS, that comes to ~US$50 2. CVR at US$7.75 per Tcfe for E/A gas certified above 6.2 Tcfe - - - at 10.2 Tcfe, that comes to US$ 31 3. CVR Floor at US$ 30 Why 10 OSH Shares instead of 8.05? That gives us a value for resources other than E/A. Why US$ 7.75 instead of US$ 6.05? That gives us a payment in-line with what TOTAL is obliged to pay under the SPA. Why a Floor of US$ 30? That's what Hession said is contained in E/A (GLJ's mid Case) - WITHOUT ACCOUNTING for Antelope South. He made it an outright statement of fact on numerous occasions - - - he can't hide behind "Safe Harbor" pronouncements! If we can get a Deal that's better than what I laid out above . . . all the better!
Drivel Maven with Personality
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