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Shell's Flagged Projects
#1


"THE world's biggest oil company, Royal Dutch Shell, has warned it may delay some of its $17 billion planned investment in Australian liquefied natural gas projects as construction costs soar and rival nations push for assets to be rapidly developed."


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Shell flags gas project delays because of cost pressures


Shell

Source: The Australian

THE world's biggest oil company, Royal Dutch Shell, has warned it may delay some of its $17 billion planned investment in Australian liquefied natural gas projects as construction costs soar and rival nations push for assets to be rapidly developed.

Shell chief executive Peter Voser said cost pressures in Australia were a growing problem and he would not be pushed into the "wrong development at the wrong time".

Shell's major Australian assets include stakes in the Arrow coal-seam gas project in Queensland and the Browse and Sunrise LNG joint ventures operated by Woodside Petroleum.

"Australia is a key component of our growth but we will not overdo it and perhaps not get the right profitability out of it," Mr Voser said when asked on an investor call on Thursday whether Shell's investment pipeline was too weighted towards Australia.

Mr Voser's comments come amid analyst speculation Shell wants to diversify away from Australia where the company also has a 24 per cent stake in Woodside.

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Shell this week posted a worse-than-expected 53 per cent slide in second-quarter net profit to $US4.06bn ($3.9bn) amid sliding oil prices.

Under Australia's regulatory framework, projects could be put on hold without loss of development rights, Mr Voser said.

"Australia obviously has some advantages because you may actually delay it (a project), which maybe you cannot do in other countries because we have permits expiring, etc," he said.

Mr Voser said Shell had a number of project options in advanced stages, so it could develop the most profitable ones first.

In April, the federal and West Australian governments gave Woodside an extra year to decide whether to build a $40bn LNG plant at James Price Point near Broome to process Browse gas.

In 2001, then-treasurer Peter Costello blocked a Shell bid for Woodside on the view that a local company would be more likely to develop its Australian assets.

Mr Voser last month said Shell had delayed a final investment decision on the Arrow project to ease rising cost pressures in Gladstone. Expanding on that yesterday, he noted that a single contractor, Bechtel, was building three separate $20bn LNG plants -- for BG Group, Santos/Total/Petronas and Origin Energy/ConocoPhillips -- at Gladstone at the same time.

"When we hear one of the suppliers is the EPC (engineering, procurement, and construction) contractor for all three and is promising us a fourth 'A team' then we get very suspicious.

"You normally don't get four A teams, you may get one and then you pay the price for the rest."

Mr Voser said Shell had long been talking to Canada's InterOil and the Papua New Guinea government about an LNG project.

In the US it is looking at the export of cheap shale gas and in Canada it is looking at an LNG plant at Kitimat on the west coast.

On the Sunrise field in the Timor Sea, Mr Voser gave no indication the decision to commit to a floating LNG project using Shell technology was in doubt.

Project operator Woodside is in talks with East Timor, which wants a plant built on its soil.

"The joint venture decided to use floating LNG technology," Mr Voser said. "We are working on that one."

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"When we hear one of the suppliers is the EPC (engineering, procurement, and construction) contractor for all three and is promising us a fourth 'A team' then we get very suspicious.

"You normally don't get four A teams, you may get one and then you pay the price for the rest."

Mr Voser said Shell had long been talking to Canada's InterOil and the Papua New Guinea government about an LNG project.

Sounds like Bechtel won't be EPC Contractor in Gulf LNG.  Maybe Modulars and FLEX make a bit of sense......

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#2
Very interesting comments Treedaddy. Sounds like Shell is getting a little pressure to perform and bring something good home to mama! Sounds like they need a good, large reservoir, low-cost, liquids-rich source instead of all this dry gas, high-cost discharge. Maybe they need to be a little more neighborly and quit doing things that result in their getting the "cold shoulder". Bullying is a big topic these days and they need to be held accountable.
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#3

'Palm' pid='7367' datel Wrote:Very interesting comments Treedaddy. Sounds like Shell is getting a little pressure to perform and bring something good home to mama! Sounds like they need a good, large reservoir, low-cost, liquids-rich source instead of all this dry gas, high-cost discharge. Maybe they need to be a little more neighborly and quit doing things that result in their getting the "cold shoulder". Bullying is a big topic these days and they need to be held accountable.

A SUBSTANTIALLY SUPERIOR discounted present value of a Shell (or any other bidder's) offer is what should count for the InterOil BOD. This discounted present value necessarily includes consideration of what InterOil retains for the future -- i.e. what the total package is when all is said and done.

All the rest is just a reality show.

VS

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#4

All Aussie project LNG costs are not competetive with US shale nbased LNG costs.  Good news is IOC's LNG costs are still well below US shale LNG - even BEFORE transportation costs.  HoHoHo.

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Osaka Gas, Chubu Electric eye Henry Hub pricing for Freeport LNG


Tokyo (Platts)--31Jul2012/803 am EDT/1203 GMT

Japan's Osaka Gas and Chubu Electric expect to import LNG from the US Freeport project at Henry Hub-linked gas prices, senior officials from the two companies said Tuesday.



"We are hoping to add a new page in our history of procurements with the introduction of the Henry Hub gas price linkage," Hiroki Sato, Chubu Electric's general manager of fuels department and head of LNG business, told a press briefing in Tokyo.



"This is a consequence of coordinated efforts by the end-users that are willing to make a change in the pricing system [for their LNG] from the buyer side," Sato said.



It would be the first instance of Chubu Electric and Osaka Gas using Henry Hub as the main benchmarks for their LNG, the officials said.

The companies earlier Tuesday concluded a natural gas liquefaction tolling agreement with the Freeport project to secure 2.20 million mt/year of capacity each to liquefy natural gas from its proposed project in Texas, the Japanese utilities said.



Under its gas liquefaction agreement with FLNG Liquefaction, a wholly owned subsidiary of Freeport LNG Development, Osaka Gas and Chubu Electric will secure a combined 4.40 million mt/year of LNG capacity from the first train of the proposed project.



They added that Freeport LNG will have no destination clause that can be sold on an FOB basis. The officials added that they have enough capacity to import up to 4.40 million mt/year of lean-gas-based LNG from the US.



Kei Takeuchi, senior general manager of Osaka Gas' LNG trading department, did not rule out the possibility of selling Freeport LNG for its trading, depending on its demand and supply situations for its city gas supply and power generation businesses.



Sato, meanwhile, stressed that Chubu Electric's portion of Freeport LNG would mainly be used for its own consumption as a priority.



The utilities expect to start importing Freeport LNG from as early as late 2017 once the project secures approval from the US Department of Energy, Takeuchi, told the briefing.



Freeport still requires a green light from the DOE to export LNG to Japan or other nations that have not yet ratified a free trade agreement with Washington.



Freeport LNG projects has filed an application to export LNG from its existing import terminal in Texas, which is planned to have three LNG trains with a capacity of 4.40 million mt/year each. The Freeport liquefaction project is planned to startup in 2017.



Osaka Gas and Chubu Electric's deal is the latest effort by Japanese companies that are entering North American projects for alternative supplies in the hope of securing Henry Hub gas prices. 



LNG imports from the Middle East, which are linked to crude oil prices, are far more expensive than those from the US, where Henry Hub prices recently fell to 10-year lows and are currently at a fraction of oil-linked LNG prices.



Japanese companies have secured options to import up to 15 million mt/year of LNG from North America which could start from as early as 2016, although formal contracts have yet to be finalized, the Japanese government said June 27.



The government then did not provide a breakdown of the possible 15 million mt/year LNG imports from North America, which would account for roughly 20% of the country's current import volumes.

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