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Predicting black swans
#2


WFS Hedge Funds



Event Horizon Index


The EZX is 100% based on quantitative probabilities of moving averages of the VIX and the SP500 providing Warren Financial and other investors with a "reading" that gauges the likelihood of an economic disaster occurring in the near future (next 30 days).


Current Event Horizon Index Reading: 0
Last Changed on 6/29/12: 0 down from 35


EZX has proven to be a good predictor of the market.
View the full historical details of each time the EZX has hit 100 since 1998.
View the full historical details of each time the EZX has hit 90 since 1998.


Historically from 1998 to present
Each time EZX hit 100 if you sold SP500 you saved 6.25% over the next 5 trading days.
Each time EZX hit 100 if you sold SP500 you saved 12.59% over the next 20 trading days.
Each time EZX hit 90 if you sold SP500 you saved 4.32% over the next 5 trading days.
Each time EZX hit 90 if you sold SP500 you saved 9.24% over the next 20 trading days.


For a more detailed explanation of the Event Horizon Index, click on the link to the June 27th Forbes article: Should You Be Worried About Europe's Train Wreck?

Recent History
Date SP500 1-day %change Event Horizon Index Reading
5/29 +1.11% 35
5/30 -1.43% 35 up to 65
6/1 -2.46% 65 up to 90
6/4 +0.01% 90 down to 35
6/5 +0.57% 35
6/18 +0.14% 35
6/19 +0.98% 35 down to 0
6/20 -0.17% 0
6/21 -2.23 0 up to 35
6/29 +2.49% 0 down from 35

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Messages In This Thread
Predicting black swans - by admin - 09-29-2012, 06:56 AM
RE: Predicting black swans - by admin - 09-29-2012, 06:57 AM

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