01-26-2013, 01:42 AM
LNG plants all cost about the same, $450-$850/Tpa. Project cost variables and blowouts are mostly found in upstream costs.
Gulf LNG upstream costs, all costs finding, gathering, conditioning and delivering to LNG facilityt, are $1.5-$2 bn.
PNG LNG upstream costs are $10-$14bn. Their estimates alone vary twice the high estimate for Gulf LNG.
Would seem to me that since IOC's gas cost is negative and PNG LNGs is above $6/M, one of the 6 bidders would be willing to pay more than the price XOM got a few yrs ago for PNG LNG stakes. Mitsui CSP deal valued E/A at $20-$22 bn.
I forget the PNG LNG $/M, maybe someone has it and can do a quick comp between PNG LNG and Mitsui $/M in these 2 projects.

