06-22-2012, 05:56 PM
Mell Research & Marketing has done several polls for the election and has done the polling for PNG before. They have done 3 polls for 2012 and each have shown O'Neill to be the winner as PM. In he 2007 election they were 85.5% correct in their projections. In the early polling O'Neill scored 100 as well as Polye as far as retaining their seats. Let's see how well they do this time.
"The predictions were made in an opinion poll conducted by Mell Research and Marketing Consultants Ltd which will be published later this week. According to Michael Mell, Managing Director of Mell Research and Marketing, the poll was conducted between October 2011 to January 2012 and covered all seats including the provincial seats. According to the results almost half of the current MPs were expected to lose their seats. Some of the noticeable MPs are Governors Tom Olga, Fr John Garia, Luther Wenge, Sir Arnold Amet, Simon Solo, Peter Humphries, Fedelis Semeso, John Luke Critin, Suckling Tamanabae and Havila Kavo. According to the poll results, Sir Michael Somare and son, Arthur Somare will both retain their respective seats. “This is the first part of three major opinion poll studies undertaken by our company on election 2012. The study only covered the popularity of sitting Members of Parliament. We have assessed their winning and losing margins in the coming elections,” Mell said. Mell said the sitting MPs that scored a rating of 70 percent and above were likely to retain their seats and Prime Minister O’Neill and Mr Polye have both scored 100 percent. He said the results of the opinion polls were educational as it would enrich all sitting MPs, intending candidates, government managers, statutory organisation managers, diplomatic missions, private sector managers, investors and the people on the elections. Mell said his company recorded a 85.5 percent accuracy rating for the 2007 national elections outcome and the same was expected from the current opinion polls."
"The predictions were made in an opinion poll conducted by Mell Research and Marketing Consultants Ltd which will be published later this week. According to Michael Mell, Managing Director of Mell Research and Marketing, the poll was conducted between October 2011 to January 2012 and covered all seats including the provincial seats. According to the results almost half of the current MPs were expected to lose their seats. Some of the noticeable MPs are Governors Tom Olga, Fr John Garia, Luther Wenge, Sir Arnold Amet, Simon Solo, Peter Humphries, Fedelis Semeso, John Luke Critin, Suckling Tamanabae and Havila Kavo. According to the poll results, Sir Michael Somare and son, Arthur Somare will both retain their respective seats. “This is the first part of three major opinion poll studies undertaken by our company on election 2012. The study only covered the popularity of sitting Members of Parliament. We have assessed their winning and losing margins in the coming elections,” Mell said. Mell said the sitting MPs that scored a rating of 70 percent and above were likely to retain their seats and Prime Minister O’Neill and Mr Polye have both scored 100 percent. He said the results of the opinion polls were educational as it would enrich all sitting MPs, intending candidates, government managers, statutory organisation managers, diplomatic missions, private sector managers, investors and the people on the elections. Mell said his company recorded a 85.5 percent accuracy rating for the 2007 national elections outcome and the same was expected from the current opinion polls."