IOC Drilling - - Probability of Success - - A Poll
We had recent posts/ debate regarding the Probability of Success (POS) for the upcoming three wells that are to be spud in the coming month:
+ Wahoo
+ Bobcat
+ Raptor
Indoreservoir emphatically stated that the odds are at best 20% for success based on historical drilling results worldwide.
Petrengr1 pegs the POS at 80-90% for all three wells based on the specific PNG situation.
I'd like to poll the troops because this is a key issue to my opinion. Success in these three new drilling locations would significantly impact the PPS since today it reflects ZERO additional gas beyond the E/A resource.
Please indicate your views on the POS . . . which range do you believe we fall into:
1. 0 - 20%
2. 20 - 40%
3. 40 - 60%
4. 60 - 80%
5. 80 - 100% - - - this is my belief

