(01-14-2015, 03:40 AM)sageo Wrote:
(01-14-2015, 03:32 AM)Putncalls Wrote: If you compare the reservoir volumes in the 2D maps with contour lines using trigonometry Getit, the western side of the new reservoir map has less volume. I think pet saw that and pointed it out.Put - Good explanation . I think that is exactly what Pet saw,and therefore said what he did. Nice to have such "sharp" brains on our mb !
On the other hand, I trust every volumetric chunk in the reservoir model used by GLJ has a probability factor assigned and it may be that we lost 10% of the chunks on the western side but that loss was offset by the higher probabilities of gas containing chunks on the east.
Who knows? Not us for sure, but I'll hang my hat on the graphic showing concept selection prior to the end of 2Q2015 coincideing with the end of A4 and A5 testing and well before A6 results are available. That tells me those with access to real data believe there is a high likelihood by 2Q2015 two trains will be confirmed, with A6 to provide a more accurate initial resource payment and an indication whether E/A alone has the gas necessary for a third train.
Of course if one believes Triceratops, Bobcat and Raptor have gas they should be able to fuel at least another train, but Total is not (yet) a partner to those discoveries.