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Here's a valued perspective on IOC
#10
JDEO a long term holder advised me.
Here's the perspective you need to have and may have but haven't posted .
Hession deferred the dollar receipt from the sell down to Total for the shareholders to receive more money for the asset .
Interoil owned 7.1 T's per GCA and Hession was convinced that was not the right quantity of assets at E/A. He convinced Total to front the money to drill additional wells to narrow the difference between GCA and GLJ . Before he could do that he also wanted to hold onto the other lease areas which required a well to be drilled to get an extension and there was a date that had to be met to start drilling . Looking long term he saw the value in keeping the added lease area .
Didn't have the rigs or money to drill the additional wells at E/A and the lease areas at the same time .
Today we are focused on drilling the new wells at E/A which will get us paid later in 2015 . So far Ant 4 shows that GCA needs to extend their area estimate and Laurie Brown now has improved seismics which show more assets at E/A . More wells to come will hopefully prove out GLJ or more .
The other choice Hession had was close a deal without this extra prove out of assets . Accept a lower payment from Exxon or Total . He chose the larger pot of gold but with this delay to drill .
Additional Dr Hession negotiated a 30 percent interest in the LNG plant and a second future asset payment after even more wells are drilled . This is a binding contract with set payments per tranche .
You talk about the drop in price per share . The payment later this year cures that issue
Here's some homework for you JDEO
Please verify the below
WTI is down 50 percent in 6 months
BTE, PGE, ECA, SDRL, LINE all dividend payers and others are all well down more than 50 percent .
Look up OSH and see it's been crushed .
IOC has a transformational event coming later this year . An event none of the other oil and gas stocks have in their near future a payment that could easily be equal or more than the current market cap . Most think in the $2 Billion dollar area .
Total is fully committed to LNG and announced a new plant this week in Africa .
Japan wants all the LNG they can get from PNG see the Credit Suisse article this week on PNG and Japan .
Goldman states 2 events need to happen to remove the uncertainty . One a winner of the arbitration and second receive the payment later this year . They assume the lower GCA extimate and clearly state with a larger asset the payment rises as does the stock price .
So you need to wait for the pop from the asset payment and a year later the pop from FID and the pop as the plant opens . That's how to make money with Interoil .
And don't forget Antelope is not alone or they will do all of this over and over again.
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Here's a valued perspective on IOC - by jft310 - 01-15-2015, 02:51 AM
RE: Here's a valued perspective on IOC - by jft310 - 01-15-2015, 05:26 AM

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