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Citi initiates coverage on IOC with a Buy
#10

'Gator' pid='63912' datel Wrote:

[quote='2126' pid='63910' dateline='1445445065']

Some of the 'bad news' press releases in the last year:

IOC Discovery at Raptor 1 (11/14)
IOC Discovery at Bobcat 1 (12/14)
OSH Arbitration Claim Dismissed (2/15)
E/A Joint Venture Selects Sites (7/15)
Total Assumes Operatorship of E/A (7/15)
Antelope 5 Results Suggest High Quality Reef Extends West (8/15)
Antelope 4 Side Track 1 Spud (8/15)
Successful Flow Test at Triceratops 3 (9/15)
Second Rig Joins E/A Appraisal Work (10/15)

All that and $39 will get you a share of IOC stock (which is down over 50% from the transformation deal.)

Most everything on that list is not important. The only thing that matters is certification payment; When and How much. Neither of which can be answered 23 months after the deal.

You even list "OSH Arbitration Claim Dismissed (2/15)".  Arbitration and the delay that followed should never have happened.

You also list "Side Track 1 Spud" that is because there was a delay and "Second Rig Joins E/A" which is also the direct result of a delay.

Delays matter.

******

And I'm a little confused as to what the end-game is now.  I've heard Hesion say he thinks there is 17T's outside of E/A (of course, JFT calls it 54T's) and that we need to "go find gas; monetize it; and repeat"...but then after the "Wahoo whiff" he now says that they are going to minimize exploration drilling in favor of a "cash-saving mode" instead.  I'm not saying that either plan is right or wrong...just that they seem to be all over the map.

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RE: Citi initiates coverage on IOC with a Buy - by CAC - 10-22-2015, 05:09 AM

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