Where is the Gas/Water Contact and the Elusive Western Fault?

[sageo]

Pet - Years ago IOC was being challenged by detractors claiming until long term flow testing was done any claims by IOC to a major find were just wishful thinking. At that time (knowing very little about anything) I was satisfied the GLJ group with their models based on seismics, aerial and well data had a pretty good handle on E/A size. After the long term flow test was performed last year I thought, 'yeah, this gives us a definitive answer'. Instead, the answer was 'we need more drilling'. Now longer flow tests are running with the results presumably to be released in the next month or so. But as Antelope 6 approaches TD we continue to speculate about location of the western fault as an important consideration in likely reservoir size. Is it the case that neither extended flow testing nor geologic monitoring is reasonably definitive and the results of one must be viewed in the context of the other to get closer to the truth? i.e. will the field appraisers end up taking an average of the geologic and flow models to reach their final estimates? Maybe a better question would be does either shed light on the characteristics of any water drive that might be present? How does one even measure or otherwise account for the existence and magnitude of a water drive before production? Thank you so much for all you do and have done for this community.

Art- My "dittos" for your thanks to Pet !!!" border="0" class="smilie" src="http://shareholdersunite.com/mybb/images/smilies/smile.gif" />