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Ten reasons why this is a great buy
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Posts: 12,025
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03-08-2019, 10:10 AM
(This post was last modified: 03-11-2019, 11:52 PM by admin.)
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The market for software defined communication cloud platforms is growing fast. Much bigger Twilio is growing at 77%, Pareteum grew at 129% in Q3.
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IoT will give another fillip to revenue growth.
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The shift to the cloud is in the very early innings, with most of the market served by legacy company solutions on premise. Northland analyst Michael Latimore believes 90% of the addressable market is still served by legacy on-premises software today
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Pareteum has a SaaS platform business model that almost invariably commands very high valuations on Wall Street, anyware from 5x to 20x sales.
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Pareteum seems particularly well placed, given the rapid progress the company has made on basically any metric. Revenue doubled from Q1 to Q3, 18 months ago it had 4 customers, now it has more than 100, Three-year backlog exploded from $147M at the end of 2017 to nearly $700M at the end of February 2019, etc.
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The explosion in 3-year backlog gives great revenue visibility, Wall Street usually likes that.
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The business model contains strong inherent operational leverage. Revenue per employee went from $277K in Q3 2017 to $492K per employee in Q3 2018. It's almost like hooking customers up and collecting the rent. The acquisitions will bring this figure down again, but that's temporary.
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Customers are happy, the dollar net retention rate is 147%, for every dollar in contract they buy 47 cent more.
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The acquisitions of Artilium and iPass offer significant revenue and cost synergies.
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The company's shares are mis-priced due to unfamiliarity with the investing public. Selling at just 3x 2019 revenues, and with some assumptions (see here for a very detailed approach) about backlog conversion, it could very well be selling at just over 1x 2021 sales. We think 5x-10x sales would be more normal at the minimum, and believe we will get there when this name becomes more familiar with investors.
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Ten reasons why this is a great buy - by admin - 03-08-2019, 10:10 AM
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