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Tapping China Loan
#1


WSJ: Papua New Guinea to tap China loan


David Winning | Wall Street Journal

Papua New Guinea, an impoverished Southeast Asian nation known for its jungles and tribal society, plans to further tap a 6 billion kina ($2.9 billion) debt facility being negotiated with China, in the latest sign that Beijing is successfully extending its economic influence throughout the Pacific Rim.

The country plans to draw up to $200 million from state-owned Export-Import Bank of China next year to help pay for new roads and other infrastructure, Prime Minister Peter O’Neill told The Wall Street Journal in an interview Monday.

“China is basically trying to use their major state-owned enterprises to do the construction work for some of our major infrastructure projects,” Mr. O’Neill said. “We are working together with the Chinese companies which are in the Fortune 500 to develop many of the infrastructure [projects] for us.”

China has long used government-aid and infrastructure projects to woo resource-rich countries and extend its diplomatic influence. Much of the focus till now has been on Africa, given China’s growing reliance on foreign oil and strategic metals such as copper, but Beijing is stepping up efforts to court Southeast Asian economies and island nations dotted across the South Pacific.

Energy may also be at the heart of Chinese motives in Papua New Guinea. The country, which covers an area slightly larger than California, is poised to become one of the world’s newest significant energy producers from 2014 when the $19 billion Exxon Mobil XOM +0.02% Corp.-led PNG LNG project starts shipping cargoes of liquefied natural gas, or LNG, to Asian customers including China Petroleum & Chemical Corp., 600028.SH +1.50% known as Sinopec Corp.

With an estimated 26 trillion cubic feet of natural gas—roughly equivalent to U.S. consumption of the clean-burning fuel in a year—and vast reserves of metals such as copper and gold, Papua New Guinea has become one of the world’s hot spots for resources investment. France’s Total SA FP.FR +0.84% and Japan’s Mitsubishi Corp. 8058.TO -0.58% have each placed bold bets on the country this year by taking stakes in natural gas discoveries or exploration blocks.

Mr. O’Neill said China’s loan offer wasn’t tied to preferential access to Papua New Guinea’s resources.

“It’s a normal, commercial deal for the Exim Bank and other financial institutions,” he said.

Papua New Guinea needs to be fiscally responsible and not draw down the China loan too quickly, urged Mr. O’Neill, adding there appeared to be enough liquidity internally to meet most of the country’s borrowings in 2013.

“In terms of actual loans that we’ve received it’s less than $500 million so far for the various projects that we’re doing with Exim Bank of China. We’re very much conscious of the fact that we need to return our debt levels down to less than 35% of [gross domestic product], and we’ve framed our budget to that effect,” he said.

Mr. O’Neill was elected as prime minister by lawmakers last year after predecessor Michael Somare left the country for medical treatment for a heart condition, but the legality of his promotion was repeatedly challenged by Papua New Guinea’s Supreme Court and factions within the army. In January, a former colonel in Papua New Guinea mutinied and detained the head of the armed forces before order was restored.

A volatile nation, Mr. O’Neill said Papua New Guinea has regained stability following national elections in August that ended a power struggle with Mr. Somare, who led the country for many years following independence in 1975 from Australia.

Political uncertainty and a harsh climate have plagued investment in Papua New Guinea. Exxon Mobil said in November that the cost of building the PNG LNG project had blown out to $19 billion from a previous estimate of $15.7 billion because of foreign exchange swings, landowner disputes and torrential rain.

But Mr. O’Neill remains adamant about the potential to expand the PNG LNG project beyond its existing two gas processing plants.

“We believe that once the expansion takes place then the upside will outweigh the cost,” he said.

He also expressed confidence that Papua New Guinea would be able to finance a higher share of InterOil Corp.’s IOC +0.96% natural gas assets following an agreement reached in November. The state will more than double its interest in InterOil’s Elk and Antelope natural gas discoveries to 50% if it can finalize terms with the U.S. energy company.

“We’re restructuring all our assets in both minerals and the oil sector—the state’s direct interest in all the projects that we have,” he said. “We are now going to set up two separate companies that will have a very solid balance sheet and I think we can borrow off those balance sheets.”

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#2
Looks two seperate companies being set up with assets that can be borrowed against. Sounds like Petromin is out and whats that do for Shell and their ties to Petromin.???? Shorts picked Namath and he lost and now Petromin is getting restructured , looks promising.
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#3

'jft310' pid='13798' datel Wrote:Looks two seperate companies being set up with assets that can be borrowed against. Sounds like Petromin is out and whats that do for Shell and their ties to Petromin.???? Shorts picked Namath and he lost and now Petromin is getting restructured , looks promising.

Not yet sure about that JFT.  Currently Petromin manages both mineral and petroleum assets for PNG.  I read this as mineral and petroleum duties will be split.  Not sure which Petromin would manage.

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#4
More levels of uncertainty. Seems O'Neil's directive for 11/30 deal was too much for the teams to accomplish. Pretty disappointing morning although the A3 news was certainly good. Thanks to all who've been up late/early with the postings.
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#5
Maybe the IOC assets that the PNG govt can op into can be set up as seperate company. And the PNG gvot could then borrow against those assets and buy into IOC a further amount and also use part of that borrowed money to build electric plants and hold those assets also.Remember how much assets Petomin got from the Exxon/OSH deal 1.9% and the IBPC got the balance to secure the loan to Abu Dabai. There is a precedent to spin off assets for financing purposes. More info to come .
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#6
Jft, I often appreciate your information. However, maybe, ????, sounds like....are not definitive. I agree with Art that more uncertainty and this will likely bring another short raid. Batten down the hatches again.
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#7

'ebster123' pid='13802' datel Wrote:Jft, I often appreciate your information. However, maybe, ????, sounds like....are not definitive. I agree with Art that more uncertainty and this will likely bring another short raid. Batten down the hatches again.

You guys need to remember that PNG is electing to opt out of Gulf LNG initial 4mtpa start-up and would have in essence no financial obligation at this time.

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#8
Tree, I am in for the long haul so the bumps are inevitable. However, you know as well that the shorts love uncertainty and perceived indecision. If there was no decision presented at the conference they will spin it again and more damage inflicted. We will monitize but looks like not this week.
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#9
Ebster -Later today we should know more. The time difference hurts good reporting.
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#10
Now that the 1st train will have no involvement from PNG is there anything to stop the SD on E/A happening now regardless of what PNG decides or how much they delay the detail of what will happen with the 2nd train?
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