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I don't think a buy-out at this moment would come anywhere near $250, to be honest. Give me the long and steady. Besides, what's it without the fun of all the upcoming drilling reports and Pet's analyses of these?
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STP, with all due respect, what it is is cold hard cash/stock. If someone wants to give $250 pps this month vs. $400 in 3-4 years I would take the former. Who knows what the future brings. That being said, if it does not happy I am here for the long term payout.
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Can't imagine a $250 buy-out at the moment. In time, with a good Exxon deal and some new drilling successes (leading to new large discoveries or dramatically higher Triceratops estimate) it might happen, but not now, IMHO.
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I think the FIRST buyout bid would be nowhere near $250, but I think the eventual buyout price would be at around fair value. Other suitors would not allow another company to get a great bargain. So what is fair value now or in the near future? Many have posted on SHU that after the Exxon deal Interoil will be worth a number like $250. It has also been mentioned that Collin said there is already an offer at $250. So why such pessimism, STP?
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I see a number of people throwing in the towel. Figure out what IOC's share of 4.8Ts of gas is at the MINIMUM price of $1.5/mcf. There's your $250. Give away the rest of the company's assets for nothing? Are you crazy?????
The sale of the company should not begin to be considered at less than $400/shr.
Yeah, I'm a little tired too. And I don't have the pressure of time, thank heavens. But selling the company for less than $400/sh today is simply nonsense. That is, unless you have another Interoil waiting in the wings.
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I have stated several times I believe the company has a fair chance of selling all (once the CAs are done) in the $350 + range. However, if at the end of a bidding "war" the price is what it is I would say be done.
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I'm not throwing any towel and I haven't said that ultimately a buy-out offer could not reach $250. I merely said that I can't see that happening now and I don't want it.