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Energy giants converge on PNG as exploration activity increases
#1
Duma's at it again:

"He’s welcomed the re-entry to PNG of Shell, who the government sees as a leader in developing the Elk/Antelope resource which is currently licensed to Interoil - a company that Mr Duma says is too small an entity to be able to do justice to the resource’s potential."

Just hope a fair bidding war between Shell and Japex/Kogas/Mitsui kicks off.

Energy giants converge on PNG as exploration activity increases

Posted at 22:31 on 26 February, 2012 UTC

There’s increased interest in Papua New Guinea by major global energy companies keen to unlock the value of the country’s substantial oil and gas assets.

Last week, Mitsubishi entered into a joint venture to develop leases held by Canada’s Talisman Energy in Western Province for potential gas exports.

Exxon Mobil is already leading the major Liquefied Natural Gas project in PNG while this month, Shell announced it’s setting up an office in Port Moresby to further its alliance with the state energy company, Petromin.

And now PNG’s Oil Search Ltd has announced its drilling activities in the Gulf of Papua are attracting interest from major players.

Johnny Blades reports:

The full extent of PNG’s energy resources is still unknown, but exploration activities underway are throwing open doors of big business opportunity.

Oil Search says recent extra gas discoveries would support a third 3.3 million tonne supply for the PNG LNG project, which it says could double PNG’s gross domestic product.

Development of PNG’s oil fields has been ongoing for almost two decades but according to Gordon Ramsay, an analyst for the global financial services company UBS, the gas sector is beginning to take off in a major way:

“Gas is starting to be commercialised and there’s some world class gas discoveries in Papua New Guinea. The Hides field is quite large and one of the cornerstone fields behind the PNG LNG Project which is slated to come on stream towards the end of 2014. (Canadian company) InterOil’s also looking at moving forward with a project in Papua New Guinea - LNG as well. So there’s activity, certainly, on commercialising the substantial gas resource that PNG has.”

PNG’s Minister of Petroleum and Energy, William Duma, describes the country as virgin territory in terms of oil and gas exploration.

He’s welcomed the re-entry to PNG of Shell, who the government sees as a leader in developing the Elk/Antelope resource which is currently licensed to Interoil - a company that Mr Duma says is too small an entity to be able to do justice to the resource’s potential.

“We need more investment in our resources sector. Shell is one of the world’s largest energy companies. We’ve already got Exxon Mobil in the country. So for us, in terms of competition, we’re better off having more major energy companies showing interest and actually investing in PNG.”

Gordon Ramsay says while the main discoveries have been onshore, in remote and challenging regions like the Southern Highlands, recent drilling in the Gulf has generated excitement.

“In Papua New Guinea, I think certainly in the Southern Highlands region, the terrain has made it very difficult to explore in the area so there’s not a high level of maturity of exploration, so there’s potential to find more gas. But again, it really comes down to drilling wells and proving that up. And in the Gulf, there’s already been some discoveries but Oil search is confident there are more to be made.”

However there’s growing public discourse in PNG about the benefits from major resource extraction.

Richard Denniss of the Canberra think tank, The Australia Institute, says that just because major mining, oil and gas operators spend huge amounts promoting the benefits from their projects, such as jobs created and economic spinoffs, it doesn’t mean that it’s true.

“What we need to do is distinguish the fact that these projects cost huge amounts of money with the claim that they deliver huge amounts of benefit. When the vast majority of the money is spent on imported equipment, when the vast majority of the profits earned gop to the foreign owners, then all of a sudden the multi-billion dollar projects that we hear about often have quite small economic impacts on the local economy but very large impacts on the enviornment and also on things like the distribution of income and the way that the smaller economies are organised.”

PNG’s civil society meanwhile has repeatedly voiced concern that the growth of the resources sector will only increase PNG’s systemic problems with corruption among officials.

News Content © Radio New Zealand International
PO Box 123, Wellington, New Zealand
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#2
Is Duma at it again or are journalists regurgitating dated quotes? I believe it is the later.
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#3
Me take is Duma is still at it, as all partners/bidders seek their best interests in the Gulf LNG and future exploration as partners with IOC.
With it's alliance with Petromin, Shell is already in E/A scheme and have Duma's ear with 'What's good for Shell is good for PNG'. This Petromin/Shell alliance has created a Petromin/Shell vs. all others mentality. The good news is Shell still has to successfully bid to have a stake beyond a share of Petromin's 2o% stake.

This reminder from an earlier Duma article.

**********

"OIL major Shell may muscle into up to nine, or almost 70%, of the petroleum retention licences in Papua New Guinea through its strategic alliance with state-owned enterprise Petromin..........

The PRLs and their respective fields include:
PRL 1 – Pandora (operated by Talisman Energy)

PRL 3 – P’nyang (operated by Ampolex)

PRL 4 – Stanley (50:50 Horizon Oil and Talisman)

PRL 8 – Kimu (operated by Oil Search)

PRL 9 – Barikewa (operated by Barracuda – according to DPE data acquired)

PRL 10 – Uramu (operated by Oil Search)

PRL 13 – Kuru (operated by LNG Energy)

PRL 14 – Iehi, Bilip and Cobra (operated by Oil Search)

PRL 21 – Elevala and Ketu (operated by Horizon)........


In the event operators want to turn a PRL into a petroleum development licence, the PNG government’s nominee can earn 22.5% in the field – indicating Petromin could have a considerable portfolio of petroleum interests in the future.

The only PRLs that were not part of Duma’s announcement were part of key PNG LNG project fields, namely PRLs 2 (Juha), 11 (Angore) and 12 (Hides) – which are all operated by Exxon subsidiary Esso Highlands – along with PRL 15 (Elk-Antelope), which is operated by InterOil in Gulf province.......

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#4
Interoil has the choice here.The bidders list was preapproved.IOC does not have to chose the highest bidder but may chose the best bidder or the best fit for whats best for IOC which includes the shareholders, I can't see a scenario where further a alliance with Shell is in IOC's best interest. I would tell them they are already in the IOC project through their Petromin interest and select another set of partners.Someone like Kogas and Japex and Mitsui.
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#5
Duma will stir the pot until the deal is done; that's his job. Doesn't necessarily make him a bad guy. Government has a duty to bring these projects online as quickly as possible and stuff the Treasurey/SWF coffers. He is clearly stating that Shell is there no matter what, but they won't be forced in unless whatever IOC comes up with is considered a bad deal, or somehow is seen as putting the project at risk. IOC is plenty smart to understand what they have to do. I would guess Shell might not be the best deal for IOC/IOC shareholders, but we know they would bring the project to fruition, and that's what Duma and the government need. Doesn't seem to be a sense of panic at this point. In fact hearing that IOC is taking its time on the drilling at T2 to be as careful as possible to avoid any kick, etc which would put the drilling at risk, gives me comfort that they know all they have to do is get it to TD with good (hopefully very good) results. That will give them the best chance at being able to choose who THEY want as a partner.

One thing to realize with Shell however is that just having the Petromin affiliation does not give them any ownership or interest in the Gulf LNG project. In fact all it really does is probably put them in as Petromin's "bank"; Petromin does not have the cash needed to kick in for their share, so Shell will "provide" that. If I were them, I would be pressuring Petromin/PNG to be the project operator; thus the continued comments by Mr Duma.

Those reasons are why I would prefer a Kogas/Japex/Mitsui partner really over anyone else. Reason is that they have many pockets to pull funds from to provide Petromin with what they need. Countries have much more flexibility to fund these kinds of projects IMHO because they can do them at low or no interest, eventually write them off if PNG gives them other infrastructure projects, etc.

To me Shell is worst case scenario for IOC, and I don't think we'll end up with them, but it won't necessarily be the end of the world. Just won't be as lucrative for IOC or shareholders. IOC would have to screw up pretty badly I think to end up with Shell
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#6
Any word of Qatar Petroleum being interested in PNG?
Apparently they are also shopping in Australia.

http://af.reuters.com/article/energyOilNews/idAFL5E8DR2SU20120227?pageNumber=1&virtualBrandChannel=0
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