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Looming bidding war
#1
I think we could well unleash a bidding war for parts or even the whole of the company.

With the reef all but confirmed by now, resource numbers are now likely to be in double digits. The confirmation of the seismics also bode well for the dozen other prospective reefs.

In short, this could very well develop into an Arun sized resource position, and this on an island where resource nationalistic policies have been kept at bay so far and is close to the most lucrative LNG export markets.

This seems now big enough and promising enough for the biggest beast to unleash a bidding war. The fact that Korea and Japan (the two biggest LNG importers) have joined forces in order not to compete against one another is already quite telling.

But there are the Chinese, other majors, and there is Shell, with its Petromin deal and its newly opened office on PNG..

I'm not saying it's a necessity, but simple logic says there aren't that many of these opportunities around. Lots of big oil&Gas companies pay billions for US shale gas resources where prices are lingering at $2.5/Mcf and drilling isn't nearly as profuse..
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#2
I agree, STP. I have often thought that the bidding could become public, too. It is not that unusual for a company to announce a buy out and then see a better offer come in from another bidder.

To clarify, I do not expect the entire company to be bought out this year or next, but a bidding war after the initial partnership announcement is possible. I realize that PNG politics could make new public bids more complicated than with companies that operate in developed countries. I would not consider a public bidding war a probability after the intitial announcement, but it is a real possibility! Wouldn't that be fun.

Tree, after looking at your picture, I have to ask, "Why the long face?" The news is good. HoHoHo
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#3
It will not be Exxon as a buyer. The best time to sell is right before the plants open. Max price then for quite a while
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#4
That may be the right time to sell but this (and even earlier) is a nighttime to buy. I said months ago that suspect some SM will attempt some form of buyout for the whole of IOC. If they don't they are stupid. I think the long term prospects are likely better for stock holders if we old but a solid deal might make it happen. The other option is a SD with a special dividend to reward longs who held out against the shorts.
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#5
Hey stp. Somebody has copied your post and put it on yahoo as their own. Or...do you have more than one yahoo ID?
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#6
Nope, wasn't me, I've only one ID
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