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The Queen has final say
#1
Funny article. Her Majesty will likely choose to not take texts from her BFF's in PNG either.

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Queen could be called on to settle Papua New Guinea political deadlock
By Online Editor
10:35 am GMT+12, 15/12/2011, Papua New Guinea

The Queen could be called in to settle a bizarre political deadlock in Papua New Guinea which has left the country with two rival Prime Ministers and two governors-general.

While either of the two sides could seek the royal assent to their choice as governor-general, the Queen is likely to try to avoid a decision until the turmoil resolves internally.

Experts said Buckingham Palace will be very unlikely to put phone calls from the Pacific nation through to the Queen.

The Palace was drawn in to the unfolding turmoil after the PNG parliament voted to suspend the Queen's representative, Sir Michael Ogio, following his decision to back Sir Michael Somare to be prime minister. Instead, the Parliament supported the Speaker as acting governor-general and he swiftly swore in a rival contender, Peter O'Neill, as prime minister.

A constitutional expert, Anne Twomey, said the situation was "abominably complicated" and there were few – if any – precedents. Though it is unclear whether a governor-general has ever been suspended, there have been occasional sackings on Caribbean islands.

However, these have occurred where the prime minister has fallen out with the governor-general – and so the Queen's assent to a sacking was uncontroversial.

“The Queen will be very conscious of what is going on in PNG,” she told The Daily Telegraph.

“She would most likely not act until it became absolutely clear who was the prime minister and comprised the National executive council. While there was any doubt on that question, she would be unlikely to act...

Buckingham Palace will make sure that whoever answers the phone will give a placatory answer but they will be canny in not getting the Queen involved. If I were her, I would become rather hard to contact.”
The deadlock followed a decision by the country's Supreme Court to reinstate Sir Michael, a veteran and wily politician known as the grand chief.

The court invalidated Sir Michael's resignation last August which had been announced by his family while he was receiving medical treatment abroad.

Adding a bizarre twist to the dramatic turmoil in the Commonwealth country, a magnitude 7.1 earthquake struck the capital on Wednesday as an MP warned that Parliament was cursed.

Dr Twomey, from Sydney University, said the closest precedent to the unfolding crisis was a case in Western Nigeria in 1962, when a provincial governor dismissed the premier, who appealed to the Queen.

“Her Majesty's approach throughout was to do nothing and hope that the political issues would resolve themselves,” she said. “I suspect she will take the same approach in relation to PNG. She will not want to be involved in the politics of it. If you do nothing for long enough, the politics will normally sort itself out.”

Though the turmoil has not spilled into violence, the standoff has resulted in two leaders, two governors-general, two police commissioners and two cabinets.

“We're all schizophrenic now. There's two of everything," said Institute of National Affairs executive director, Paul Barker. "The country cannot stand this division. There are questions of the legality over everything”.
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#2
Would be funny if it didn't hurt a little. This too shall pass.
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#3
["Though the turmoil has not spilled into violence, the standoff has resulted in two leaders, two governors-general, two police commissioners and two cabinets."]

All the more reason to have two LNG projects as well!
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#4
So what do you think STP? This cannot be an open ended situation here. I give it by next Monday to be resolved or Her Majesty may need to make a phone call. From what I've studied up, the SC over-stepped with their determination of Somare being re-instated. My thought is they needed to defer back to Parliament with an illegit O'Neill and the call was theirs who to endorse. O'Neill, Somare or a third PM.
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#5
Don't know if you've read this piece, but it helps explain a few things. Seems O'Neill is not so much acting out of desperation, but being smart. Again, he's being coached well. Encouraging thing is that these Aussies compliment PNG on having a strong constitution and a history of working out differences. Other thing; I was worried when I saw the Queen might rule; thought that was Eric! Yikes!
http://www.radioaustralia.net.au/pacbeat...391482.htm
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#6
Yes palm'Neill,
It's looking like the law is on O'Neill's side after all and he may have rope-a-doped Sir Michael Somare (not spiekerman).
1) SC ruled Somare was unconstitutionally removed and should be returned as PM.
2) However, a PM need Parliament approval and Somare will not get it.
3) Parliament has clean-ed up with new legislation the laws which the SC ruled Parliament unconstitutionally removed Somare with.
4) As of now, O'Neill is legal PM untless/until SC rules upon the new laws and their constitutionality.
5) If laws found constitutional, SC has no more say in matter and Somare was constitutionally removed from office. I bet this was the plan all along from O'Neill camp as Somare would not pull out and simple legislation created within the constitutional could carry the day for O'Neill.

Is now is the time for SOmare to cut his best deal for him and Arthur too and bow out gracefully?
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#7
And now a push for early elections.

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Early election movement in PNG
Blair Price
Thursday, 15 December 2011

PROTESTORS in Port Moresby will call for an early election today as Papua New Guinea’s political stalemate between the groups led by Sir Michael Somare and Peter O’Neill continues.

In a swipe at governor-general Michael Ogio’s decision to swear in Somare’s chosen cabinet ministers, the O’Neill coalition used its overwhelming numbers in parliament for more fun and games yesterday.

A parliamentary vote consequently stripped Ogio of his position and handed the governor-general role to speaker Jeffery Nape.

Francis Marus was appointed as the new speaker. Interestingly, Marus was born in the Somare homeland of East Sepik but was raised in the West New Britain province.

Each camp also has its own appointed police commissioner, however the police have been admirably neutral this week during the political crisis.

But perhaps the greatest demonstration of leadership this week could come from activist Noel Anjo.

According to local radio he has planned a protest today to demand the dissolution of parliament and a call for general elections.

A road block to calling an election is that the twice-delayed budget still needs parliamentary approval to free up the funds necessary for the scheduled election in mid-2012.

But scheduled elections are enough of an anxious prospect for many PNG politicians and some members of parliament might do whatever they can to ensure that an early election is avoided.

On Monday the Supreme Court found that O’Neill was unlawfully appointed as PM by parliament in early August while Somare remained on extended medical leave.

While there is a prospect that MPs who defected from the previous Somare government would return because of the court outcome, some commentators view that Somare has not returned to Parliament House yet because he lacks the necessary numbers.

Ultimately both factions are not seen as a major risk to the mining and mineral exploration companies in PNG in terms of policy.

This is despite some controversial amendments to resource ownership laws flagged by the O’Neill coalition’s mining minister Byron Chan in August, as Chan backed down from such changes in more recent months due to pressure from O’Neill.

But there is a possibility of unrest in the highlands, which would be of most concern to the ExxonMobil-led PNG LNG project, as the O’Neill coalition has MPs from key highlands seats.
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#8
I don't think either will bow out. After reading that piece it underscores how crucial being in office is for the coming election. It would seem that O'Neill might back off with the majority in parliament. Somare could be stonewalled and be totally ineffective and anyone associated could be seen as handicapped in the PM race. But O'Neill is tenacious about staying in office. Per that article, for him to have the best chance in the election, he should be in PM seat.
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#9
There is pretty impressive stuff in that article:
["Each camp also has its own appointed police commissioner, however the police have been admirably neutral this week during the political crisis."]

["Ultimately both factions are not seen as a major risk to the mining and mineral exploration companies in PNG in terms of policy."]

["But perhaps the greatest demonstration of leadership this week could come from activist Noel Anjo. According to local radio he has planned a protest today to demand the dissolution of parliament and a call for general elections."]

All this is actually remarkably grown up, considering the circumstances. There are worse places in the world. One could say that how a country handles a crisis (which can happen to all of us) is a measure of its maturity.

And I would say, so far, so good. Yes I know, it's all farce, but so is Belgium not having a government for over a year or the US budget limit saga. In my own country there was a politician assassinated not that long ago.

This really could be a lot worse. For a poor country to experience this kind of a crisis, I'm actually quite encouraged, although it's early days yet.

It's no Libya, or Venezuela or you name it..
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#10
Anyone else following Liam Fox on twitter?

Most recent tweet in cut and paste.

O'Neill says the extra police have seized the Govt printing office & will seize the finance dept, PM's Dept and Govt house
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