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GIVEN IMAGING
#1

Last suggestion for today.

Given is an Israeli company with a market cap of $722 Mln. They are a little pricey right now for good reasons.  Number of shares outstanding are fairly flat since year end 2008.  They've been profitable the last 2 quaters and 4 of the last 5.  They currently have no debt and a current ratio > 4.  So no worry about any dilution.

They make tiny cameras the size of pills that patients swallow.  There are several different types of PillCams that have different missions to capture data on different parts of the gastrointestinal system.  Check out their web site.  It's amazing.  The cameras pass through the body and transmit data to a data collector worn externally by the patient.  The pill is expelled as you might expect.  In addition to taking extremely high resolution pictures, some pills have sensors to measure fluid properties such as pH and other chemical properties which can be used to provide much more accurate diagnoses enabling faster, more successful treatments.  Given has no competition with similar technology as far as I know.  They have succeeded in working with physicians to product a flood of papers and evidence showing the superiority of using their products vs. other existing methods for diagnosis.

Their major markets are the USA, Europe and Japan.  Any day we are expecting US FDA approval of PillCam Colon.  This product will replace the colonoscopy for many patients where performing such a procedure is too risky or not preferred.  The aging population is expected to significantly aid the uptake of this technology once approved .  Upon US approval we're talking about millions of new customers.  Recently, Japan approved PillCam3 (a different product) and then later announced full reimbursement for its use. That had a nice bump up on the stock. The stock has been on a big uptrend and FDA approval is a virtual certainty, but is NOT fully priced in IMHO based on watching the other announcements.  Generally, the PillCam products cost less and provide better information with less risk than other existing technologies.  Sounds like "taste great, less filling" might apply here.

Given's stock took a big price plunge a few months ago when a buyout fell apart.  That's when I bought back in and have increased my position since then.  They are the very front end of a large growth in revenues in Japan and also the US after approval.

In the recent CC the numbers were not exactly what folks hoped to hear so there was a dip and a buying opportunity.  That is over.

This is all way out of my field of knowledge, but it seems like a slam dunk winner.  I imagine once FDA approval is granted on this latest product, someone is going to buy them.  If not, revenues going forward are going to take off.  I suspect there is more sensor additions and product upgrades to follow which help increase margins.  I'm holding on for the long term.  My next colonoscopy wellness check is about 3 years off.  I'll probably be using one of these.

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#2
Thanks for these suggestions, Kaliboo, much appreciated. Funny thing is, I was just reading about Israel's entrepreneurial and educational system, and a company was mentioned that developed these tiny pill camera's. Interesting stuff!
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#3
Thanks Kaliboo, good story but volume a bit thin and options almost non-existent. Looks a bit overvalued here despite recent increase in EPS. Announcements for new products/markets would likely drive pps up. Worth watching.
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#4

Given up 27% today on buy out agreement.  Up around 100% for the year!!! Thanks Given!

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#5
Well done Kaliboo. Your previous faith in this one has repaid you handsomely. Now if we can only get IOC up to where it belongs .....
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#6
Congratulations guys!
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#7

'Captain Mac' pid='33761' dateline='<a href="tel:1386649 Wrote:Well done Kaliboo. Your previous faith in this one has repaid you handsomely. Now if we can only get IOC up to where it belongs .....

Yes thanks.  Unfortunately my GIVN gain Is much smaller than my IOC loss (on paper).  As Buffet is quoted, "the market is very good at separating an impatient man from his money."

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#8
I feel for anybody that was leveraged in IOC from higher levels. I can't offer comment on the IOC Forum but also don't have the expertise that is so evident with others, so no problem. I do appreciate your posts and those of all of the other learned members. I have resisted the temptation to use options on my (long term) holding to generate income as I also like to sleep at night! However at these silly levels I'm tempted to add more shares.

One day the shorts will move on but in the meantime it's just too easy for them to make money. In principle I don't like shorting, never have, and IMO there is something immoral about large holders loaning their shares out to enable the shorts; they say it aids "price discovery" but what is going on with IOC, NQ and others must be bordering on criminal activity.

Paper losses are gut wrenching at the time but I have confidence that the truth will eventually reward us.
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#9

Well if you follow the chain above you will note that I commented that an agreement to buy Given was accepted and signed.  Since then several law firms are filing suit against the company and board for failure to execute their fiduciary responsibility of getting the best deal for shareholders.  The deal price is $30/share.  Given has been expecting FDA approval of their PillCam Colon product in the USA before year end.  I was hoping that event would occur first before any buyout offer, as I was guessing such approval could boost the stock upwards of 20%.  A buyout would then have to take that into account.  So I agree that the offer was probably too low, but I'm not mad at all.  There was a large price increase due to the offer.

However, I've sold all of my shares to lock in a gain of around 98% for the past year.  I'm very happy with my profit and don't want to wait on uncertain legal action.  Additionally, there is a strategy to this.  There was another buyout/merger action in January, but it fell apart leading to about a 20% price drop.  I bought the stock shortly after that.  So if these legal actions that are now in progress cause the deal to fall apart, I just might jump back in if the drop is sufficient, like 20-30%.  This would be especially attractive if FDA approval of PillCam Colon is still in the near future.  That approval along with another FDA approval on a different PillCam product received just a few months ago in the USA and Japan, should add very nicely to the revenue stream for 2014.  So I think it's a good stock to sit in for a while longer if the sale flops.  Apparently some big equity owners are pushing hard for a sale, so there's another opportunity if this sale flops.

It ain't over until it's over.

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#10
Congratulations!

I have to say that I haven't followed the story in great detail, but would a buy-out not include any expected FDA approval, or is this the medical industry's equivalent of the oil&gas convention not to pay for undiscovered resources?
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