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ZeroHedge Economics
#1
“[Japan] defies the basic tenets of economics for the nation with the largest total debt, largest ratio of geriatrics and low rates of immigration to have lower bond yields than countries like Singapore, Sweden or Switzerland.”
When one of the world’s government bond markets finally blows up (Japan still looks like the primary candidate, but stranger things have happened), economists will scratch their heads and wonder where it all went wrong.

Quantitative Easing Is A Squalid Little Lie That Appeals To Economists With No Grasp Of History | Zero Hedge

As it happens, Japan had all of these things (the largest debt ratio, largest geriatrics ratio and low immigration) long before any QE.

What's more, QE hasn't really done much to Japanese bond yields and hasn't even been able to achieve the 2% inflation target.

Japan's QE started in 2013 (although there was a prior period with much a much smaller program from March 2001 to 2004). The aim is to get the country out of deflation for good, as deflation is terrible for debt dynamics (it increases the real burden of debt) and the BoJ cannot lower interest rates so they did something else.

We've seen these predictions of a blow up of the Japanese bond market for over a decade, it hasn't materialized, neither has any inflation, let alone hyperinflation...

Speaking about lack of grasp of history, ZeroHedge seems to forget that Abeconomics is modelled on a successful Japanese reflation effort in the 1930s under Finance Minister Takahashi..

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#2

Why didn't QE produce runnaway inflation?

During a deleveraging cycle money is actually destroyed as loans are repaid. Just as loans create deposits the repayment of loans destroys deposits... Instead, all QE did was offset the deleveraging that would have otherwise been hugely deflationary and remove trillions in bonds from the private sector. So yes, the demand for money has been high, but it has been high because the household sector has been busy deleveraging. And all the Fed did was keep them running in place rather than sprinting forward as many in the “money printing” crowd might have you believe.

Read more: http://www.pragcap.com/no-the-inflation-from-qe-is-not-inevitable#ixzz3ZJ2urfoM

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