A dire economic situation with a shrinking economy and serious inflation was already buffeting the Argentinian stock market, but this became dramatic after a surprise election loss of the government. Recent measures by the government like capital controls can stabilize the situation and give a lift to shares. However, it remains very much to be […]
Argentinian Shares Are Very Cheap, But Big Risks Remain
September 4th, 2019 · Comments Off on Argentinian Shares Are Very Cheap, But Big Risks Remain
Tags: Emerging Markets
When A Country Doesn’t Trust Its Own Money
May 11th, 2019 · Comments Off on When A Country Doesn’t Trust Its Own Money
Argentina’s biggest economic problem is the lack of credibility of its currency. At the first sign of trouble, it tends to plunge. A peso plunge is liable to set all sorts of self-reinforcing mechanisms in motion, basically acting as a giant self-fulfilling prophecy. There is no easy remedy for this structural situation, but from time […]
Tags: Economy
A New Argentinean Default?
September 14th, 2018 · Comments Off on A New Argentinean Default?
While the Macri government was dealt a very bad hand in terms of the economic situation they inherited, a large debt is not one of these. In a time span of just three years, they managed to run up a huge amount of dollar-denominated debt, which is now weaponized by a run on the peso. […]
Tags: Emerging Markets
Start Crying For Argentina
September 4th, 2018 · Comments Off on Start Crying For Argentina
Argentina’s public spending spree is finally catching up with the country. By liberalizing the capital account before taking care of the fiscal and current account deficits, the present government has made things worse. Now it has no choice but embark on a brutal fiscal adjustment and the economy will tank. And it could get considerably […]
Tags: Emerging Markets
Argentinian Canary In The Coal Mine?
May 22nd, 2018 · Comments Off on Argentinian Canary In The Coal Mine?
Argentina seems to be the first victim of a more difficult international climate for emerging markets. In a way, this is somewhat surprising as the country isn’t on the brink of a default and there aren’t bank runs and the economy still grows, this isn’t 2001. However, there are no easy solutions and should the […]
Tags: Emerging Markets
Argentina: And Now For The Hard Part
May 16th, 2016 · Comments Off on Argentina: And Now For The Hard Part
Tags: Emerging Markets · Latin America
Morning In Argentina? | Seeking Alpha
January 15th, 2016 · Comments Off on Morning In Argentina? | Seeking Alpha
End of an era in Argentina. But will this mean a new economic awakening? The challenges are many. Are there interesting investments that can play on the political change? Source: Morning In Argentina? | Seeking Alpha
Tags: Emerging Markets
When A Country Doesn’t Trust Its Own Currency
October 14th, 2015 · Comments Off on When A Country Doesn’t Trust Its Own Currency
Argentina’s financial markets are on a tear, which might seem odd considering the basket case label often attached to it in the financial press. However, a closer look will reveal that Argentina’s economic problems are mostly rather benign and fairly easily solvable. A change in government is expected to do just that and give the […]
Tags: Economics · Emerging Markets
Argentina As A Contrarian Bet? – | Seeking Alpha
August 29th, 2015 · Comments Off on Argentina As A Contrarian Bet? – | Seeking Alpha
The Argentinean economy is stagnating and suffering from a host of problems, like high inflation, important market restrictions in international trade and energy and lack of access to foreign capital. However, many of these problems seem self-induced and could be resolved with a change of policies. An election later this year looks like the catalyst […]
Tags: Latin America
The law of supply and demand asserting itself in Argentina
February 6th, 2011 · Comments Off on The law of supply and demand asserting itself in Argentina
When few trust the future, productive capacity can’t keep up with demand and the result is, well, entirely predictable…
Tags: Economy · Emerging Markets