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The Trump Administration goes all-in for fossil fuel dominance with across the board deregulation. It’s debatable how much of an effect deregulation has on production and it’s not without cost. Insofar as the US is already responsible for most of the increase in world oil supply, the success of the policy could actually backfire, also […]

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At the extension of the OPEC agreement we again calling for its irrelevance, just as we did days after the first agreement. There are simply numerous structural headwinds working against fossil fuels. From now until the middle of the next decade, oil spikes are still possible, but these will be temporary, bar major disasters. Source: […]

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The oil industry is rejoicing the OPEC agreement and the upcoming Trump liberation of US fossil fuels. However, there are strong undercurrents which are not particularly favorable for the industry. Not everybody in the oil world seems to be prepared for some of these changes. Could Investors Face A Death Spiral In Oil?

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The incoming Trump government looks set on making considerable changes in US energy policy. The main planks look to be substantial deregulation and a shift in emphasis towards fossil fuels. We look at the likely effects of these policy changes on energy markets. We’ll also highlight some little reported downsides. Trump’s Energy Blitz

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OPEC has shot itself dramatically in the foot with the market share based strategy two years ago, foregoing hundreds of billions in revenues. The about-face this month is more rational, but it’s very unlikely the old order is going to be restored. OPEC countries should take what they can get and use this to diversify […]

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OPEC’s strategy to force a dramatic retreat of American shale isn’t succeeding anywhere near the scale needed for the strategy to be called a success. The cost to OPEC itself is too big for this strategy to be continued. Steep revenue losses, severe budgetairy problems, foreign currency losses, political instability and rift within OPEC itself. […]

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Goldman Sachs argues that oil will stay low for the rest of the decade but predictions are tough, few if any saw the oil crash coming. The main argument from Goldman is about the resilience of the US shale sector. This is indeed remarkable, the number of rigs has halved, but production has stayed up. […]

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Predicting problems until the end of the decade..

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