05-24-2013, 01:57 AM
Yes, CAC, it's pretty healthy to remind us now and then that it hasn't yet panned out and that there is quite a bit needed for that to happen.
Personally I think that the sell-down is a near given. I don't have the background to assess the chances of Triceratops to become another E/A, (please, others with more join in here!), but I'm thinking in statistical terms based on:
- PRE arguing that they see plenty of 5-10T structures
- We know there are 10 other possible reefs identified so far
- Reefs have a habit of arriving in clusters
- Dave Holland has a proven track record (he was right, Ross Smith was wrong)
While this doesn't lead to certainties, and you're right to remind us of that, it leads to pretty good odds..
Personally I think that the sell-down is a near given. I don't have the background to assess the chances of Triceratops to become another E/A, (please, others with more join in here!), but I'm thinking in statistical terms based on:
- PRE arguing that they see plenty of 5-10T structures
- We know there are 10 other possible reefs identified so far
- Reefs have a habit of arriving in clusters
- Dave Holland has a proven track record (he was right, Ross Smith was wrong)
While this doesn't lead to certainties, and you're right to remind us of that, it leads to pretty good odds..