05-27-2013, 09:21 AM
And the upshot is simple. There is a limited supply of shares.
If the shorts, by shorting, buying puts and MM hedging this by shorting (or shorts excercising puts), they keep the price depressed. That works on two fronts:
- mechanically, in terms of supply and demand for shares
- value wise, as long as there is a considerable degree of uncertainty (or disagreement about) the value of the shares, they are getting away with it. In fact, shorting might help here as they can point to the depressed share price as some form of 'realism'
However, one cannot short unlimited amounts of shares for unlimited amount of time, the supply of shares is limited, and as soon as a deal removes a great deal of uncertainty about the value of the shares, a value gap (I'm assuming a positive one) opens up inducing more demand, and reducing the float further.
All the bag of tricks will ultimately be nullified once a sufficient amount of people willing and able to buy shares become convinced that IOC shares are worth substantially more than today's value assigned by the markets.
This is what happened with Tesla, FSLR, there is no reason to assume it won't happen to IOC..
If the shorts, by shorting, buying puts and MM hedging this by shorting (or shorts excercising puts), they keep the price depressed. That works on two fronts:
- mechanically, in terms of supply and demand for shares
- value wise, as long as there is a considerable degree of uncertainty (or disagreement about) the value of the shares, they are getting away with it. In fact, shorting might help here as they can point to the depressed share price as some form of 'realism'
However, one cannot short unlimited amounts of shares for unlimited amount of time, the supply of shares is limited, and as soon as a deal removes a great deal of uncertainty about the value of the shares, a value gap (I'm assuming a positive one) opens up inducing more demand, and reducing the float further.
All the bag of tricks will ultimately be nullified once a sufficient amount of people willing and able to buy shares become convinced that IOC shares are worth substantially more than today's value assigned by the markets.
This is what happened with Tesla, FSLR, there is no reason to assume it won't happen to IOC..

