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Brexit has so exhausted British politics and society that many would want to see it disappear, whatever the solution. This has moved the debate to “get it done,” which has almost completely obscured the economic rationale. Economic damage has already been done, and this will get worse. The only mitigating impact could come from a […]

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Brexit exhaustion led the new PM Boris Johnson to force the issue, but his efforts resulted in a backlash complicating things once again. Part of the collateral damage is that the Ulster DUP is no longer necessary to prop up the Johnson government, which has opened up the perspective of a negotiated exit. This is […]

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Brexit seems to have vexed UK politics which has come to a grinding halt, seemingly unable to arrive at any logical conclusion on how to (or whether) proceed with Brexit. But we think that the present negotiated deal is likely to go through as all other alternatives face bigger political obstacles. This should produce a […]

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The UK is embarking on Brexit, a process of truly daunting complexity for which there is a two year time frame that most think is way too short. The resulting upheaval will consume British policy making for at least a decade or more. We don’t see much upside, but there are significant risks and banana […]

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