Demand Trumps Supply

  • Can Trump significantly lift the growth of the US economy?
  • Trump’s reflationary efforts are likely to run into supply constraints, given by a tight labor market, low productivity growth and a low growth of the labor force.
  • His supply policies aren’t likely to relieve these constraints anytime soon.
  • Nevertheless, by running demand consistently higher than potential output growth, ‘stressing the system,’ higher growth might still be in the cards.

Demand Trumps Supply | Seeking Alpha