- Things are getting to get worse, likely to be a lot worse. The U.S. is now passed the containment phase.
- The next phase is limiting the spread which necessitates much more economically costly measures, compounding the damage coming from abroad.
- The immediate worries should be the risk of the healthcare system getting overrun. Given the limited capacity margins, this is a distinct possibility.
- Stimulus can only do so much, it should be mainly focus on the direct victims, as this will also limits the spread of the virus.
- If you haven’t done so already, selling some positions into rallies and/or hedging is advisable. Nobody knows how bad this will get but there is little doubt it could become very bad.
Source: Investing In A Minefield | Seeking Alpha
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