The Markets Are Running On Hopium

  • Markets have latched onto slivers of positive news about booster protection and Omicron producing less severe outcomes.
  • But the supporting data is thin and/or premature, while the data on the speed of infections and reduced protection from vaccines and previous infections is more robust.
  • So we think markets are not discounting the potential for economic disruption from Omicron nearly enough.
  • We keep a particular keen eye on China where, given the speed at which Omicron spread, its zero-tolerance COVID policy seems difficult to maintain.
  • Given China’s role as the manufacturing hub for the world, economic disruption here will have a ripple effect everywhere.
  • Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of SHU Growth Portfolio get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. Learn More »